Macclesfield vs South Shields Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Macclesfield
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
1.28 1.32
South Shields
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Macclesfield opened at 0 against South Shields in the National League - North. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Macclesfield 0
Model–Market Gap
0.04
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.04 AH points more toward South Shields than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
South Shields 0
@ 2.00
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.04
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.95
Price Advantage
+2.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.78 / 1.88 0 1.78 / 1.88 — 0
Bet365 0 1.80 / 2.00 0 1.80 / 2.00 — 0
1xBet 0 1.78 / 1.88 0 1.78 / 1.88 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.77 / 1.90 0 1.77 / 1.90 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.04
xG 1.28 / 1.32 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.78
Macclesfield @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.05
Macclesfield @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.78 vs 2.05
Market price is 13.2% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.80 9.80
-2.00 8.80 8.80
-1.75 5.90 6.40
-1.50 4.55 4.90
-1.25 4.16 4.50
-1.00 3.72 4.10
-0.75 2.76 2.98
-0.25 2.05 2.16
0 1.78 1.88
+0.25 1.57 1.65
+0.75 1.30 1.36
+1.00 1.16 1.20
+1.25 1.13 1.16
+1.50 1.11 1.13
+1.75 1.05 1.07

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.75 6.60
-1.50 4.40 5.00
-1.25 4.00 4.50
-1.00 3.55 4.15
-0.75 2.75 3.10
-0.50 2.35 2.60
0 1.80 2.00
+0.50 1.48 1.58
+0.75 1.35 1.42
+1.00 1.22 1.27
+1.25 1.19 1.23
+1.50 1.17 1.20
+1.75 1.11 1.14

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.36 2.53
-0.25 2.07 2.22
0 1.77 1.90
+0.25 1.56 1.65
+0.50 1.44 1.50

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.80 8.90
-1.75 5.90 6.40
-1.50 4.55 4.90
-1.25 4.15 4.50
-1.00 3.72 4.10
-0.75 2.74 2.97
-0.25 2.03 2.15
0 1.78 1.88
+0.25 1.56 1.63
+0.75 1.30 1.35
+1.00 1.16 1.20
+1.25 1.13 1.16
+1.50 1.11 1.13
+1.75 1.05 1.07
Primary Bets
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