King's Lynn Town vs Buxton Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

King's Lynn Town
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
1.17 1.43
Buxton
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

King's Lynn Town opened at 0 against Buxton in the National League - North. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.23
King's Lynn Town +0.23

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
King's Lynn Town 0
Model–Market Gap
0.23
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.23 AH points more toward Buxton than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Buxton 0
@ 1.80
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.23
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.72
Price Advantage
+4.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.79 / 1.87 0 1.87 / 1.79 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.04 / 1.80 0 2.04 / 1.80 — 0
Bet365 0 1.72 / 2.08 0 2.08 / 1.72 — 0
1xBet 0 1.79 / 1.87 0 1.87 / 1.79 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.23
xG 1.17 / 1.43 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.04
King's Lynn Town @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.39
King's Lynn Town @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.04 vs 2.39
Market price is 14.6% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 10.50 8.90
-2.00 9.50 9.10
-1.75 6.50 6.05
-1.50 5.00 4.65
-1.25 4.56 4.26
-1.00 4.15 3.82
-0.75 2.98 2.83
-0.25 2.16 2.07
0 1.87 1.79
+0.25 1.64 1.57
+0.75 1.34 1.30
+1.00 1.19 1.16
+1.25 1.15 1.13
+1.50 1.12 1.10
+1.75 1.06 1.05
+2.50 1.02 1.04

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.50 5.75
-1.50 5.50 4.25
-1.25 5.00 3.80
-1.00 4.40 3.45
-0.75 3.30 2.68
-0.50 2.68 2.30
-0.25 2.38 2.02
0 2.08 1.72
+0.25 1.78 1.55
+0.50 1.60 1.45
+0.75 1.45 1.32
+1.00 1.30 1.20
+1.25 1.25 1.17
+1.50 1.21 1.15
+1.75 1.14 1.15

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.00 9.10
-1.75 6.50 6.05
-1.50 5.00 4.65
-1.25 4.55 4.25
-1.00 4.15 3.82
-0.75 2.97 2.81
-0.25 2.15 2.05
0 1.87 1.79
+0.25 1.62 1.56
+0.75 1.33 1.30
+1.00 1.19 1.16
+1.25 1.15 1.13
+1.50 1.12 1.10
+1.75 1.06 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.22 2.79
-0.50 2.65 2.35
-0.25 2.35 2.08
0 2.04 1.80
+0.25 1.74 1.58
+0.50 1.56 1.45
+0.75 1.41 1.32
Primary Bets
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