Kickers Offenbach vs FC 08 Homburg Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Kickers Offenbach
Final Score
2 – 2
(HT 1-1)
FC 08 Homburg
Kick-off 17:00 Stadium Bieberer Berg Stadion

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Kickers Offenbach opened at 0 against FC 08 Homburg in the Regionalliga - SudWest. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.11
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.24 / 1.36
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Kickers Offenbach 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 3 / 3 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.11
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.11 AH points more toward FC 08 Homburg than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:00
Opening
0
12:01
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.83 / 1.83 0 1.88 / 1.78 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.88 / 1.90 0 1.99 / 1.81 — 0
1xBet 0 1.83 / 1.83 0 1.88 / 1.78 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.50 8.40
-2.00 8.60 8.70
-1.75 6.40 5.85
-1.50 4.90 4.55
-1.25 4.50 4.15
-1.00 4.05 3.72
-0.75 2.98 2.80
-0.25 2.18 2.07
0 1.88 1.78
+0.25 1.64 1.56
+0.75 1.35 1.30
+1.00 1.20 1.16
+1.25 1.16 1.14
+1.50 1.13 1.11
+1.75 1.07 1.05

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.40 9.00
-2.00 7.50 8.70
-1.75 6.40 5.85
-1.50 4.90 4.55
-1.25 4.50 4.15
-1.00 4.05 3.72
-0.75 2.97 2.78
-0.25 2.17 2.05
0 1.88 1.78
+0.25 1.62 1.55
+0.75 1.34 1.30
+1.00 1.20 1.16
+1.25 1.16 1.13
+1.50 1.13 1.11
+1.75 1.07 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.29 3.43
-0.75 3.09 2.78
-0.50 2.58 2.35
-0.25 2.29 2.09
0 1.99 1.81
+0.25 1.70 1.59
+0.50 1.54 1.46
+0.75 1.40 1.33
+1.00 1.28 1.30
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
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