Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Fatih Karagümrük
Oct 19, 2026 - 14:00
1.23 1.40
Keçiörengücü
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Fatih Karagümrük opened at 0 against Keçiörengücü in the 1. Lig. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.15
Fatih Karagümrük +0.15

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Fatih Karagümrük 0
Model–Market Gap
0.15
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.15 AH points more toward Keçiörengücü than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Keçiörengücü 0
@ 2.00
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.15
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.81
Price Advantage
+10.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.75 / 1.91 0 1.75 / 1.91 — 0
Bet365 0 1.80 / 2.00 0 1.80 / 2.00 — 0
1xBet 0 1.75 / 1.91 0 1.75 / 1.91 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.35 / 2.60 -0.50 2.35 / 2.60 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.76 / 1.92 0 1.76 / 1.92 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.15
xG 1.23 / 1.40 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.75
Fatih Karagümrük @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.24
Fatih Karagümrük @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.75 vs 2.24
Market price is 21.9% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.40 9.40
-1.75 6.25 7.20
-1.50 4.75 5.40
-1.25 4.30 4.95
-1.00 3.84 4.45
-0.75 2.82 3.15
-0.25 2.04 2.22
0 1.75 1.91
+0.25 1.54 1.65
+0.75 1.27 1.34
+1.00 1.14 1.18
+1.25 1.11 1.15
+1.50 1.09 1.12
+1.75 1.03 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.65 5.50
-1.25 4.25 5.00
-1.00 3.90 4.40
-0.75 2.85 3.30
-0.50 2.38 2.68
-0.25 2.10 2.35
0 1.80 2.00
+0.25 1.58 1.70
+0.50 1.45 1.55
+0.75 1.32 1.40
+1.00 1.20 1.24
+1.25 1.17 1.21
+1.50 1.15 1.18

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.36 2.59
-0.25 2.07 2.25
0 1.76 1.92
+0.25 1.55 1.65
+0.50 1.42 1.50

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.35 2.60
+0.50 1.45 1.55

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.25 7.20
-1.50 4.75 5.40
-1.25 4.30 4.95
-1.00 3.84 4.45
-0.75 2.81 3.14
-0.25 2.02 2.21
0 1.75 1.91
+0.25 1.53 1.64
+0.75 1.27 1.33
+1.00 1.14 1.18
+1.25 1.11 1.14
+1.50 1.09 1.12
+1.75 1.03 1.06
Primary Bets
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