Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Ümraniyespor
Oct 09, 2026 - 17:00
1.30 1.30
Sarıyer
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Ümraniyespor opened at 0 against Sarıyer in the 1. Lig. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
0
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Ümraniyespor 0
Model–Market Gap
0.00
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Decision
LEAN
Sarıyer 0
@ 2.09
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.00
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.00
Price Advantage
+4.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.70 / 1.98 0 1.70 / 1.98 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.75 / 2.09 0 1.75 / 2.09 — 0
1xBet 0 1.70 / 1.98 0 1.70 / 1.98 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.07 / 2.35 -0.25 2.07 / 2.35 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
0
xG 1.30 / 1.30 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.75
Ümraniyespor @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.00
Ümraniyespor @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.75 vs 2.00
Market price is 12.5% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.40 8.00
-1.50 4.85 5.95
-1.25 4.40 5.51
-1.00 3.88 5.00
-0.75 2.79 3.36
-0.25 1.99 2.36
0 1.70 1.98
+0.25 1.50 1.68
+0.75 1.25 1.35
+1.00 1.10 1.18
+1.25 1.08 1.14
+1.50 1.07 1.11
+1.75 1.02 1.05

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.40 2.67
-0.25 2.07 2.35
+0.25 1.55 1.70
+0.50 1.44 1.53

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.40 8.00
-1.50 4.85 5.95
-1.25 4.40 5.50
-1.00 3.88 5.00
-0.75 2.78 3.34
-0.25 1.98 2.33
0 1.70 1.98
+0.25 1.48 1.67
+0.75 1.24 1.34
+1.00 1.10 1.18
+1.25 1.08 1.14
+1.50 1.07 1.11
+1.75 1.02 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.04 5.22
-0.75 2.93 3.59
-0.50 2.41 2.87
-0.25 2.08 2.48
0 1.75 2.09
+0.25 1.53 1.74
+0.50 1.41 1.55
+0.75 1.28 1.39
+1.00 1.15 1.23
Primary Bets
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