Sivasspor vs Pendikspor Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Sivasspor
Oct 09, 2026 - 14:00
1.26 1.34
Pendikspor
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Sivasspor opened at 0 against Pendikspor in the 1. Lig. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.07
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Sivasspor 0
Model–Market Gap
0.07
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.07 AH points more toward Pendikspor than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Pendikspor 0
@ 2.03
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.07
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.90
Price Advantage
+6.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.70 / 1.98 0 1.70 / 1.98 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.79 / 2.03 0 1.79 / 2.03 — 0
1xBet 0 1.70 / 1.98 0 1.70 / 1.98 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.05 / 2.37 -0.25 2.05 / 2.37 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.07
xG 1.26 / 1.34 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.79
Sivasspor @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.11
Sivasspor @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.79 vs 2.11
Market price is 15.2% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.50 8.20
-1.50 4.90 6.00
-1.25 4.41 5.50
-1.00 3.90 4.95
-0.75 2.80 3.35
-0.25 2.01 2.32
0 1.70 1.98
+0.25 1.50 1.68
+0.75 1.25 1.35
+1.00 1.11 1.18
+1.25 1.08 1.14
+1.50 1.06 1.11
+1.75 1.02 1.05

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.35 2.70
-0.25 2.05 2.37
+0.25 1.55 1.72
+0.50 1.42 1.55

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.50 8.20
-1.50 4.90 6.00
-1.25 4.40 5.50
-1.00 3.90 4.95
-0.75 2.78 3.34
-0.25 1.99 2.30
0 1.70 1.98
+0.25 1.49 1.66
+0.75 1.24 1.34
+1.00 1.11 1.18
+1.25 1.08 1.14
+1.50 1.06 1.11
+1.75 1.02 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.12 5.00
-0.75 3.00 3.48
-0.50 2.47 2.80
-0.25 2.13 2.42
0 1.79 2.03
+0.25 1.56 1.70
+0.50 1.43 1.53
+0.75 1.29 1.37
+1.00 1.16 1.22
Primary Bets
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