Iğdır FK vs Batman Petrolspor Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Iğdır FK
Oct 10, 2026 - 13:00
1.32 1.28
Batman Petrolspor
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Iğdır FK opened at -0.25 against Batman Petrolspor in the 1. Lig. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Iğdır FK -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.21
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.21 AH points more toward Batman Petrolspor than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Batman Petrolspor +0.25
@ 2.86
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.21
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.77
Price Advantage
+61.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.76 / 2.66 -0.25 1.76 / 2.66 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.84 / 2.86 -0.25 1.84 / 2.86 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.77 / 2.67 -0.25 1.77 / 2.67 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.83 / 2.62 -0.25 1.83 / 2.62 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.04
xG 1.32 / 1.28 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.84
Iğdır FK @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.30
Iğdır FK @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.84 vs 2.30
Market price is 20.0% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.01 8.20
-1.50 3.88 6.95
-1.25 3.44 6.40
-1.00 3.05 5.90
-0.75 2.37 3.90
-0.25 1.77 2.67
0 1.51 2.31
+0.25 1.37 1.87
+0.75 1.18 1.48
+1.00 1.07 1.28
+1.25 1.05 1.24
+1.50 1.04 1.18
+1.75 1.02 1.11

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.83 2.62
+0.25 1.45 1.90

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.00 8.20
-1.50 3.88 6.95
-1.25 3.42 6.40
-1.00 3.05 5.90
-0.75 2.35 3.90
-0.25 1.76 2.66
0 1.51 2.31
+0.25 1.37 1.86
+0.75 1.18 1.47
+1.00 1.07 1.28
+1.25 1.05 1.23
+1.50 1.04 1.18
+1.75 1.02 1.10

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.48 4.16
-0.50 2.11 3.27
-0.25 1.84 2.86
0 1.55 2.44
+0.25 1.41 1.97
+0.50 1.32 1.71
+0.75 1.22 1.53
Primary Bets
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