Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Esenler Erokspor
Final Score
1 – 1
(HT 0-0)
Sarıyer
Kick-off 18:30 Stadium Esenler Stadium

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Esenler Erokspor opened at -0.50 against Sarıyer in the 1. Lig. Pinnacle's current reference line is -0.50.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.20
Esenler Erokspor -0.20

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

xG (pre-match) 1.41 / 1.19
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
—
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.50 · 2 / 6 books · Weak
Model–Market Gap
—
No valid tradable market line
3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No tradable main line at the time of the decision.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
—
No bookmaker currently offers a valid two-way pricing main.

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.50 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:15
Opening
-0.50
00:15
Last Pre-Match
-0.50
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.50
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.75
Sharp Consensus
-0.50
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.75 1.92 / 5.20 -0.75 1.92 / 5.20 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.50 1.85 / 3.70 -0.50 1.85 / 3.70 — 0
Bet365 -0.50 1.82 / 3.90 -0.50 1.82 / 3.90 — 0
1xBet -0.75 1.92 / 5.20 -0.75 1.92 / 5.20 — 0
Superbet +0.50 1.24 / 1.88 +0.50 1.24 / 1.88 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.34 / 2.92 0 1.34 / 2.92 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main —

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.08 8.00
-1.00 2.38 8.70
-0.75 1.92 5.20
-0.25 1.50 3.42
0 1.30 2.97
+0.25 1.23 2.28
+0.75 1.10 1.71
+1.50 1.03 1.28

Bet365 Main —

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.08 5.25
-0.50 1.82 3.90
-0.25 1.60 3.45
0 1.38 3.00
+0.25 1.30 2.30
+0.50 1.24 1.98
+0.75 1.16 1.72

BetVictor Main —

AH Home Away
0 1.34 2.92

Marathonbet Main —

AH Home Away
-1.00 2.38 8.70
-0.75 1.92 5.20
-0.25 1.50 3.42
0 1.30 2.97
+0.25 1.23 2.28
+0.75 1.10 1.71

Pinnacle Main —

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.85 3.70
-0.25 1.62 3.29
0 1.40 2.88
+0.25 1.32 2.27
+0.50 1.26 1.96

Superbet Main —

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.20 7.80
-0.50 1.82 3.65
+0.50 1.24 1.88
+1.50 1.05 1.30
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
More