Yeovil Town vs Boston United Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Yeovil Town
Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00
1.21 1.39
Boston United
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
6 / 6 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Yeovil Town opened at -0.25 against Boston United in the National League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
Yeovil Town +0.16

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Yeovil Town -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.41
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.41 AH points more toward Boston United than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Boston United +0.25
@ 2.84
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.41
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.60
Price Advantage
+77.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.75 / 2.62 -0.25 1.74 / 2.62 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.79 / 2.84 -0.25 1.79 / 2.84 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.98 / 2.50 -0.25 1.98 / 2.50 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.76 / 2.64 -0.25 1.75 / 2.64 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.85 / 2.62 -0.25 1.85 / 2.62 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.80 / 2.62 -0.25 1.80 / 2.63 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
xG 1.21 / 1.39 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.79
Yeovil Town @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.66
Yeovil Town @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.79 vs 2.66
Market price is 32.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 6.70 10.00
-1.75 4.65 8.50
-1.50 3.58 6.40
-1.25 3.28 5.96
-1.00 2.88 5.50
-0.75 2.29 3.79
-0.25 1.75 2.64
0 1.51 2.31
+0.25 1.39 1.90
+0.75 1.19 1.51
+1.00 1.08 1.32
+1.25 1.07 1.25
+1.50 1.05 1.21

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.15 5.90
-1.25 3.80 5.50
-1.00 3.45 5.00
-0.75 2.60 3.55
-0.50 2.25 2.85
-0.25 1.98 2.50
0 1.68 2.15
+0.25 1.50 1.82
+0.50 1.40 1.62
+0.75 1.27 1.48
+1.00 1.17 1.30
+1.25 1.15 1.25
+1.50 1.13 1.22

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.80 2.63
0 1.54 2.27
+0.25 1.41 1.87

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.85 2.62
+0.25 1.47 1.91

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.65 8.50
-1.50 3.58 6.40
-1.25 3.28 5.95
-1.00 2.88 5.50
-0.75 2.28 3.78
-0.25 1.74 2.62
0 1.51 2.31
+0.25 1.38 1.89
+0.75 1.19 1.50
+1.00 1.08 1.32
+1.25 1.07 1.25
+1.50 1.05 1.21

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.41 4.01
-0.50 2.03 3.20
-0.25 1.79 2.84
0 1.54 2.46
+0.25 1.41 2.02
+0.50 1.33 1.77
+0.75 1.23 1.55
Primary Bets
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