Barrow vs Scunthorpe Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Barrow
Sep 29, 2026 - 18:45
1.29 1.31
Scunthorpe
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
6 / 6 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Barrow opened at -0.25 against Scunthorpe in the National League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.02
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Barrow -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.27
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.27 AH points more toward Scunthorpe than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Scunthorpe +0.25
@ 2.79
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.27
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.72
Price Advantage
+62.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.72 / 2.70 -0.25 1.75 / 2.59 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.75 / 2.99 -0.25 1.85 / 2.79 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.75 / 2.85 -0.25 1.80 / 2.75 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.73 / 2.71 -0.25 1.76 / 2.61 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.75 / 2.82 -0.25 1.82 / 2.72 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.73 / 2.78 -0.25 1.75 / 2.73 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.02
xG 1.29 / 1.31 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.85
Barrow @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.39
Barrow @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.85 vs 2.39
Market price is 22.6% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.65 8.30
-1.50 3.58 6.25
-1.25 3.28 5.81
-1.00 2.92 5.35
-0.75 2.31 3.72
-0.25 1.76 2.61
0 1.53 2.27
+0.25 1.40 1.90
+0.75 1.20 1.50
+1.00 1.09 1.31
+1.25 1.07 1.25
+1.50 1.06 1.21
+1.75 1.02 1.12

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.55 6.40
-1.25 3.30 6.00
-1.00 2.85 5.75
-0.75 2.35 3.80
-0.50 2.05 3.10
-0.25 1.80 2.75
0 1.55 2.38
+0.25 1.42 2.00
+0.50 1.35 1.75
+0.75 1.25 1.58
+1.00 1.14 1.40
+1.25 1.12 1.32
+1.50 1.12 1.27

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.75 2.73
0 1.50 2.35
+0.25 1.38 1.93

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.82 2.72
+0.25 1.44 1.95

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.65 8.30
-1.50 3.58 6.25
-1.25 3.28 5.80
-1.00 2.92 5.35
-0.75 2.30 3.70
-0.25 1.75 2.59
0 1.53 2.27
+0.25 1.39 1.88
+0.75 1.20 1.49
+1.00 1.09 1.31
+1.25 1.07 1.25
+1.50 1.06 1.21
+1.75 1.02 1.12

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.45 3.97
-0.50 2.10 3.15
-0.25 1.85 2.79
0 1.59 2.42
+0.25 1.45 2.01
+0.50 1.36 1.76
+0.75 1.25 1.57
Primary Bets
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