Woking vs Kidderminster Harriers Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Woking
Final Score
0 – 0
(HT 0-0)
Kidderminster Harriers
Kick-off 14:00 Stadium Kingfield Stadium

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Woking opened at -0.25 against Kidderminster Harriers in the National League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.14
Woking -0.14

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

xG (pre-match) 1.38 / 1.22
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Woking -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 5 / 6 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.11
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.11 AH points more toward Kidderminster Harriers than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Kidderminster Harriers +0.25
@ 2.61
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.11
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.88
Price Advantage
+38.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
02:15
Opening
-0.25
07:04
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.90 / 2.35 -0.25 1.90 / 2.41 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.72 / 2.10 0 1.70 / 2.19 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 2.00 / 2.42 -0.25 2.00 / 2.42 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.92 / 2.37 -0.25 1.91 / 2.43 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.98 / 2.45 -0.25 1.95 / 2.50 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.93 / 2.45 -0.25 1.93 / 2.47 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.70 8.00
-1.50 4.40 6.00
-1.25 3.94 5.56
-1.00 3.50 5.10
-0.75 2.60 3.44
-0.25 1.91 2.43
0 1.64 2.06
+0.25 1.46 1.74
+0.75 1.24 1.40
+1.00 1.10 1.22
+1.25 1.08 1.18
+1.50 1.06 1.14
+1.75 1.02 1.08

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.40 6.00
-1.25 4.00 5.75
-1.00 3.55 5.25
-0.75 2.68 3.45
-0.50 2.25 2.85
-0.25 2.00 2.42
+0.25 1.52 1.80
+0.50 1.40 1.62
+0.75 1.30 1.45
+1.00 1.16 1.27
+1.25 1.14 1.23
+1.50 1.12 1.20

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.93 2.47
0 1.64 2.08
+0.25 1.46 1.74

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.95 2.50
+0.25 1.52 1.82

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.70 8.00
-1.50 4.40 6.00
-1.25 3.94 5.55
-1.00 3.50 5.10
-0.75 2.59 3.42
-0.25 1.90 2.41
0 1.64 2.06
+0.25 1.45 1.73
+0.75 1.23 1.39
+1.00 1.10 1.22
+1.25 1.08 1.17
+1.50 1.06 1.14
+1.75 1.02 1.08

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.84 3.79
-0.50 2.36 3.00
-0.25 2.04 2.61
0 1.70 2.19
+0.25 1.51 1.83
+0.50 1.39 1.61
+0.75 1.27 1.44
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

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