Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Trabzonspor
Oct 19, 2026 - 17:00
1.30 1.71
Beşiktaş
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
+0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 6 books · 67% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Trabzonspor opened at -0.25 against Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 6 valid books, with 67% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is +0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.38
Trabzonspor +0.38

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Trabzonspor -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.63
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 6 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.63 AH points more toward Beşiktaş than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Beşiktaş +0.25
@ 1.98
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.63
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.50
Price Advantage
+32.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 6 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP +0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
+0.25
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.39 / 1.87 -0.25 2.39 / 1.87 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.16 / 1.72 +0.25 1.91 / 1.53 — +0.25
Bet365 -0.25 2.50 / 1.98 -0.25 2.42 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.55 / 1.87 -0.25 2.55 / 1.87 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.85 / 2.25 -0.50 2.87 / 2.25 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.41 / 1.89 -0.25 2.42 / 1.89 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.38
xG 1.30 / 1.71 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.39
Trabzonspor @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
3.02
Trabzonspor @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.39 vs 3.02
Market price is 20.9% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 12.00 7.90
-2.00 11.00 7.10
-1.75 7.09 4.90
-1.50 5.40 3.88
-1.25 5.00 3.50
-1.00 4.60 3.08
-0.75 3.28 2.44
-0.25 2.55 1.87
0 2.21 1.73
+0.25 1.78 1.57
+0.75 1.44 1.25
+1.00 1.28 1.13
+1.25 1.22 1.11
+1.50 1.18 1.09
+1.75 1.11 1.04
+2.00 1.04 1.05
+2.50 1.02 1.04

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.60 5.25
-1.50 5.75 4.00
-1.25 5.25 3.55
-1.00 4.65 3.30
-0.75 3.45 2.60
-0.50 2.85 2.20
-0.25 2.42 1.98
0 2.15 1.68
+0.25 1.82 1.52
+0.50 1.65 1.40
+0.75 1.48 1.30
+1.00 1.32 1.18
+1.25 1.27 1.16
+1.50 1.23 1.14
+1.75 1.16 1.11

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.42 1.89
0 2.10 1.63
+0.25 1.78 1.48

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.87 2.25
+0.50 1.67 1.45

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.90 7.10
-1.75 7.10 4.90
-1.50 5.40 3.88
-1.25 5.00 3.50
-1.00 4.60 3.08
-0.75 3.28 2.44
-0.25 2.39 1.87
0 2.12 1.66
+0.25 1.78 1.47
+0.75 1.44 1.25
+1.00 1.28 1.13
+1.25 1.22 1.10
+1.50 1.18 1.09
+1.75 1.11 1.04

Pinnacle Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.51 2.56
-0.50 2.86 2.19
-0.25 2.55 1.94
0 2.23 1.68
+0.25 1.91 1.53
+0.50 1.70 1.43
+0.75 1.53 1.31
Primary Bets
More