FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

FC Ingolstadt 04
Oct 11, 2026 - 11:30
1.56 1.27
SV Wehen
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 6 books · 50% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
-0.25
Toward Home · Opening → Current

Asian Handicap Market Summary

FC Ingolstadt 04 opened at 0 against SV Wehen in the 3. Liga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward FC Ingolstadt 04 from the opening line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 6 valid books, with 50% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.26
FC Ingolstadt 04 -0.26

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
FC Ingolstadt 04 -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.01
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 6 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.01 AH points more toward FC Ingolstadt 04 than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
SV Wehen +0.25
@ 2.58
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.01
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.01
Price Advantage
+28.4%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 6 valid books · 50% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.72 / 1.95 -0.25 1.90 / 2.33 — -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.78 / 2.04 0 1.71 / 2.16 — 0
Bet365 0 1.78 / 2.02 0 1.78 / 2.02 — 0
1xBet 0 1.72 / 1.95 -0.25 1.92 / 2.33 — -0.25
Betano +0.25 1.57 / 1.72 -0.50 2.30 / 2.65 — -0.75
BetVictor -0.25 1.82 / 2.01 -0.25 1.79 / 2.04 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.26
xG 1.56 / 1.27 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.90
FC Ingolstadt 04 @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.99
FC Ingolstadt 04 @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.90 vs 1.99
Market price is 4.5% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 7.60 9.90
-1.75 5.24 7.44
-1.50 4.10 5.30
-1.25 3.74 4.94
-1.00 3.34 4.55
-0.75 2.56 3.20
-0.25 1.92 2.33
0 1.66 2.03
+0.25 1.48 1.74
+0.75 1.26 1.40
+1.00 1.13 1.24
+1.25 1.11 1.19
+1.50 1.09 1.16
+1.75 1.04 1.09

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.00 7.00
-1.50 4.50 5.50
-1.25 4.15 5.00
-1.00 3.70 4.40
-0.75 2.75 3.30
-0.50 2.35 2.68
-0.25 2.08 2.35
0 1.78 2.02
+0.25 1.58 1.72
+0.50 1.45 1.58
+0.75 1.32 1.42
+1.00 1.20 1.26
+1.25 1.17 1.22
+1.50 1.15 1.19
+1.75 1.10 1.12

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.00 2.26
-0.25 1.79 2.04
0 1.56 1.79
+0.25 1.41 1.56
+0.50 1.32 1.43

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.30 2.65
+0.50 1.47 1.60

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.25 6.90
-1.50 4.10 5.30
-1.25 3.74 4.95
-1.00 3.34 4.55
-0.75 2.56 3.20
-0.25 1.90 2.33
0 1.66 2.03
+0.25 1.48 1.73
+0.75 1.26 1.40
+1.00 1.13 1.24
+1.25 1.11 1.19
+1.50 1.09 1.16
+1.75 1.04 1.09

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.84 5.01
-0.75 2.89 3.73
-0.50 2.41 2.99
-0.25 2.07 2.58
0 1.71 2.16
+0.25 1.51 1.79
+0.50 1.39 1.58
+0.75 1.27 1.42
+1.00 1.17 1.26
Primary Bets
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