Rot-Weiß Essen vs Hansa Rostock Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Rot-Weiß Essen
Sep 20, 2026 - 11:30
2.03 1.70
Hansa Rostock
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
-0.25
Toward Home · Opening → Current

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Rot-Weiß Essen opened at 0 against Hansa Rostock in the 3. Liga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Rot-Weiß Essen from the opening line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.31
Rot-Weiß Essen -0.31

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Rot-Weiß Essen -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.06
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.06 AH points more toward Rot-Weiß Essen than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Hansa Rostock +0.25
@ 2.37
Best Available Price · Betano
Line Edge
0.06
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.06
Price Advantage
+15.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.70 / 1.98 -0.25 1.91 / 2.26 — -0.25
1xBet 0 1.70 / 1.98 -0.25 1.93 / 2.26 — -0.25
Betano -0.25 1.98 / 2.37 -0.25 1.98 / 2.37 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.31
xG 2.03 / 1.70 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.91
Rot-Weiß Essen @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.95
Rot-Weiß Essen @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.91 vs 1.95
Market price is 2.1% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.30 9.30
-2.00 7.50 8.30
-1.75 5.14 6.96
-1.50 4.00 5.00
-1.25 3.58 4.60
-1.00 3.20 4.20
-0.75 2.52 3.08
-0.25 1.93 2.26
0 1.69 1.99
+0.25 1.51 1.74
+0.75 1.28 1.41
+1.00 1.15 1.26
+1.25 1.13 1.21
+1.50 1.10 1.17
+1.75 1.06 1.10
+2.00 1.03 1.03

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.98 2.37
+0.25 1.57 1.80

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.15 6.55
-1.50 4.00 5.00
-1.25 3.58 4.60
-1.00 3.20 4.20
-0.75 2.52 3.08
-0.25 1.91 2.26
0 1.69 1.99
+0.25 1.51 1.72
+0.75 1.28 1.41
+1.00 1.15 1.26
+1.25 1.13 1.21
+1.50 1.10 1.17
+1.75 1.05 1.10
Primary Bets
More