Volgar Astrakhan vs Novosibirsk Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Volgar Astrakhan
Oct 11, 2026 - 14:00
1.30 1.30
Novosibirsk
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
2 / 2 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Volgar Astrakhan opened at 0 against Novosibirsk in the Second League A - Division A Gold. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 2 of 2 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
0
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Volgar Astrakhan 0
Model–Market Gap
0.00
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 2 / 2 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
2 / 2 valid books · 100% agreement · Insufficient

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.98 / 1.70 0 1.98 / 1.70 — 0
1xBet 0 1.98 / 1.70 0 1.98 / 1.70 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
0
xG 1.30 / 1.30 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.98
Volgar Astrakhan @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.98 vs 2.00
Market price is 1.0% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.75 4.70
-1.00 4.80 3.76
-0.75 3.28 2.74
-0.25 2.33 1.98
0 1.98 1.70
+0.25 1.67 1.51
+0.75 1.35 1.25
+1.00 1.19 1.12
+1.50 1.12 1.07

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.75 4.70
-1.00 4.80 3.76
-0.75 3.28 2.74
-0.25 2.30 1.98
0 1.98 1.70
+0.25 1.67 1.49
+0.75 1.35 1.25
+1.00 1.19 1.12
+1.50 1.12 1.07
Primary Bets
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