Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Heist Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Spouwen-Mopertingen
Sep 30, 2026 - 18:00
1.39 1.21
Heist
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Spouwen-Mopertingen opened at 0 against Heist in the First Amateur Division. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.16
Spouwen-Mopertingen -0.16

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Spouwen-Mopertingen 0
Model–Market Gap
0.16
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.16 AH points more toward Spouwen-Mopertingen than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Spouwen-Mopertingen 0
@ 1.92
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.16
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.79
Price Advantage
+7.3%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.85 / 1.81 0 1.85 / 1.81 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.94 / 1.85 0 1.89 / 1.89 — 0
Bet365 0 1.78 / 2.02 0 1.92 / 1.88 — 0
1xBet 0 1.85 / 1.81 0 1.85 / 1.81 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.90 / 1.88 -0.25 1.90 / 1.88 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.16
xG 1.39 / 1.21 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.89
Spouwen-Mopertingen @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.79
Spouwen-Mopertingen @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.89 vs 1.79
Market price is 5.6% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.00 8.40
-2.00 8.70 8.30
-1.50 4.60 4.45
-1.00 3.84 3.68
-0.75 2.88 2.78
-0.25 2.14 2.07
0 1.85 1.81
+0.25 1.61 1.60
+0.75 1.34 1.32
+1.00 1.20 1.18
+1.50 1.14 1.13
+2.50 1.03 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.92 1.88

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.10 2.08
-0.25 1.90 1.88
0 1.68 1.65
+0.25 1.50 1.48
+0.50 1.39 1.38

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.70 8.30
-1.50 4.60 4.45
-1.25 3.85 4.10
-1.00 3.84 3.68
-0.75 2.88 2.78
-0.25 2.12 2.07
0 1.85 1.81
+0.25 1.61 1.58
+0.75 1.34 1.32
+1.00 1.20 1.18
+1.25 1.16 1.18
+1.50 1.14 1.13

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.88 2.89
-0.50 2.44 2.44
-0.25 2.17 2.18
0 1.89 1.89
+0.25 1.65 1.65
+0.50 1.51 1.51
+0.75 1.37 1.37
Primary Bets
More