Blansko vs Hranice Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Sep 26, 2026 - 13:30
1.30 1.30
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
-0.25
Toward Home · Opening → Current

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Blansko opened at 0 against Hranice in the 3. liga - MSFL. The current market consensus is -0.25. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Blansko from the opening line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
0
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Blansko -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.25
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.25 AH points more toward Hranice than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Hranice +0.25
@ 2.48
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.25
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.74
Price Advantage
+42.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.74 / 1.93 -0.25 1.83 / 2.43 — -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.88 / 2.48 -0.25 1.88 / 2.48 — 0
Bet365 0 1.78 / 2.02 0 1.78 / 2.02 — 0
1xBet 0 1.74 / 1.93 -0.25 1.85 / 2.43 — -0.25
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
0
xG 1.30 / 1.30 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.88
Blansko @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.36
Blansko @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.88 vs 2.36
Market price is 20.3% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.00 7.70
-1.50 3.90 5.75
-1.25 3.50 5.30
-1.00 3.08 4.85
-0.75 2.43 3.42
-0.25 1.85 2.43
0 1.60 2.13
+0.25 1.44 1.81
+0.75 1.23 1.44
+1.00 1.11 1.28
+1.25 1.09 1.22
+1.50 1.07 1.18
+1.75 1.02 1.10

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.78 2.02

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.00 7.70
-1.50 3.90 5.75
-1.25 3.50 5.30
-1.00 3.08 4.85
-0.75 2.43 3.42
-0.25 1.83 2.43
0 1.60 2.13
+0.25 1.44 1.79
+0.75 1.23 1.44
+1.00 1.11 1.28
+1.25 1.09 1.22
+1.50 1.07 1.18
+1.75 1.02 1.10

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.10 2.78
-0.25 1.88 2.48
0 1.62 2.19
+0.25 1.47 1.88
+0.50 1.38 1.68