FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

FK Neftekhimik
Final Score
2 – 4
(HT 0-2)
Chelyabinsk
Kick-off 14:00 Stadium Neftekhimik Stadium

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

FK Neftekhimik opened at 0 against Chelyabinsk in the First League. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.28 / 1.32
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
FK Neftekhimik 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 3 / 3 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.04
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.04 AH points more toward Chelyabinsk than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
08:51
Opening
0
13:27
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.95 / 2.49 0 1.88 / 1.83 — +0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.71 / 2.12 0 1.97 / 1.88 — 0
1xBet 0 1.70 / 2.18 0 1.93 / 1.89 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.15 7.90
-1.50 6.05 5.85
-1.25 5.54 5.34
-1.00 5.00 4.80
-0.75 3.34 3.20
-0.25 2.37 2.19
0 1.93 1.89
+0.25 1.55 1.60
+0.75 1.26 1.24
+1.00 1.11 1.10
+1.25 1.09 1.08
+1.50 1.07 1.06
+1.75 1.02 1.02

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.20 7.90
-1.50 6.05 5.85
-1.25 5.55 5.35
-1.00 5.00 4.80
-0.75 3.34 3.20
-0.25 2.25 2.19
0 1.88 1.83
+0.25 1.55 1.52
+0.75 1.26 1.24
+1.00 1.11 1.10
+1.25 1.09 1.08
+1.50 1.07 1.06
+1.75 1.02 1.02

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 5.54 5.21
-0.75 3.68 3.49
-0.50 2.90 2.77
-0.25 2.44 2.33
0 1.97 1.88
+0.25 1.63 1.58
+0.50 1.46 1.43
+0.75 1.31 1.29
+1.00 1.17 1.16
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
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