1. FC Kaiserslautern vs VfL Bochum Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

1. FC Kaiserslautern
Oct 17, 2026 - 11:00
1.04 0.96
VfL Bochum
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
-0.25
Toward Home · Opening → Current

Asian Handicap Market Summary

1. FC Kaiserslautern opened at 0 against VfL Bochum in the 2. Bundesliga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward 1. FC Kaiserslautern from the opening line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.07
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
1. FC Kaiserslautern -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.18
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.18 AH points more toward VfL Bochum than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
VfL Bochum +0.25
@ 2.76
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.18
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.77
Price Advantage
+55.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.79 / 1.94 -0.25 1.82 / 2.54 — -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.83 / 2.03 -0.25 1.95 / 2.76 — -0.25
Bet365 -0.25 1.88 / 2.68 -0.25 1.90 / 2.60 — 0
1xBet 0 1.79 / 1.94 -0.25 1.86 / 2.54 — -0.25
Betano +0.50 1.50 / 1.57 -0.50 2.20 / 3.00 — -1.00
BetVictor 0 1.76 / 1.92 -0.25 1.84 / 2.56 — -0.25
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.07
xG 1.04 / 0.96 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.95
1. FC Kaiserslautern @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.31
1. FC Kaiserslautern @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.95 vs 2.31
Market price is 15.6% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 6.70 9.40
-1.75 4.70 7.50
-1.50 3.74 5.80
-1.25 3.34 5.40
-1.00 3.04 5.00
-0.75 2.39 3.52
-0.25 1.86 2.54
0 1.59 2.25
+0.25 1.42 1.87
+0.75 1.22 1.46
+1.00 1.10 1.29
+1.25 1.09 1.24
+1.50 1.07 1.19
+1.75 1.03 1.12
+2.00 1.02 1.05

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.90 6.25
-1.25 3.55 5.75
-1.00 3.30 5.50
-0.75 2.50 3.70
-0.50 2.15 3.00
-0.25 1.90 2.60
0 1.62 2.25
+0.25 1.48 1.90
+0.50 1.38 1.68
+0.75 1.26 1.50
+1.00 1.15 1.32
+1.25 1.14 1.27
+1.50 1.12 1.24

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.10 2.91
-0.25 1.84 2.56
0 1.58 2.19
+0.25 1.43 1.83
+0.50 1.34 1.63

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.20 3.00
+0.50 1.42 1.70

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.70 7.50
-1.50 3.74 5.80
-1.25 3.34 5.40
-1.00 3.04 5.00
-0.75 2.39 3.52
-0.25 1.82 2.54
0 1.59 2.25
+0.25 1.42 1.83
+0.75 1.22 1.46
+1.00 1.10 1.29
+1.25 1.09 1.24
+1.50 1.07 1.19
+1.75 1.03 1.12

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.65 3.98
-0.50 2.24 3.16
-0.25 1.95 2.76
0 1.65 2.34
+0.25 1.49 1.93
+0.50 1.39 1.70
+0.75 1.27 1.52
Primary Bets
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