SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Oct 17, 2026 - 11:00
1.78 1.65
Eintracht Braunschweig
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

SpVgg Greuther Fürth opened at -0.25 against Eintracht Braunschweig in the 2. Bundesliga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.12
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
SpVgg Greuther Fürth -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.13
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.13 AH points more toward Eintracht Braunschweig than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Eintracht Braunschweig +0.25
@ 2.66
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.13
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.88
Price Advantage
+41.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.75 / 2.64 -0.25 1.81 / 2.51 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.84 / 2.86 -0.25 1.93 / 2.66 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.90 / 2.60 -0.25 1.90 / 2.60 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.79 / 2.64 -0.25 1.85 / 2.51 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.10 / 3.15 -0.50 2.18 / 2.95 — 0
BetVictor -0.50 2.00 / 3.00 -0.25 1.83 / 2.53 — +0.25
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.12
xG 1.78 / 1.65 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.93
SpVgg Greuther Fürth @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.14
SpVgg Greuther Fürth @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.93 vs 2.14
Market price is 9.8% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.75 7.90
-1.50 3.74 5.95
-1.25 3.34 5.50
-1.00 2.97 5.05
-0.75 2.36 3.52
-0.25 1.85 2.51
0 1.59 2.25
+0.25 1.43 1.88
+0.75 1.22 1.47
+1.00 1.10 1.30
+1.25 1.08 1.24
+1.50 1.07 1.19
+1.75 1.02 1.12

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.80 5.90
-1.25 3.45 5.50
-1.00 3.10 5.00
-0.75 2.42 3.55
-0.50 2.15 3.00
-0.25 1.90 2.60
0 1.62 2.25
+0.25 1.48 1.90
+0.50 1.38 1.68
+0.75 1.27 1.52
+1.00 1.17 1.35
+1.25 1.15 1.30
+1.50 1.13 1.25

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.08 2.86
-0.25 1.83 2.53
0 1.58 2.19
+0.25 1.44 1.84
+0.50 1.35 1.64

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.18 2.95
+0.50 1.42 1.72

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.75 7.90
-1.50 3.74 5.95
-1.25 3.34 5.50
-1.00 2.97 5.05
-0.75 2.36 3.52
-0.25 1.81 2.51
0 1.59 2.25
+0.25 1.43 1.83
+0.75 1.22 1.47
+1.00 1.10 1.30
+1.25 1.08 1.24
+1.50 1.07 1.19
+1.75 1.02 1.12

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.55 3.74
-0.50 2.18 3.01
-0.25 1.93 2.66
0 1.65 2.29
+0.25 1.50 1.93
+0.50 1.40 1.71
+0.75 1.29 1.53
Primary Bets
More