Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Eintracht Braunschweig
Oct 09, 2026 - 16:30
1.55 1.81
Holstein Kiel
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Eintracht Braunschweig opened at 0 against Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.24
Eintracht Braunschweig +0.24

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Eintracht Braunschweig 0
Model–Market Gap
0.24
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.24 AH points more toward Holstein Kiel than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Holstein Kiel 0
@ 1.83
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.24
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.75
Price Advantage
+4.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.92 / 1.81 0 1.95 / 1.78 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.02 / 1.84 0 2.04 / 1.83 — 0
Bet365 0 1.98 / 1.82 0 1.98 / 1.82 — 0
1xBet 0 1.92 / 1.81 0 1.95 / 1.78 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.75 / 1.65 +0.25 1.75 / 1.65 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.92 / 1.76 0 1.92 / 1.76 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.24
xG 1.55 / 1.81 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.04
Eintracht Braunschweig @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.33
Eintracht Braunschweig @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.04 vs 2.33
Market price is 12.4% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.30 8.50
-2.00 9.00 7.80
-1.75 6.14 5.35
-1.50 4.75 4.20
-1.25 4.39 3.82
-1.00 3.98 3.42
-0.75 2.93 2.63
-0.25 2.24 1.99
0 1.95 1.78
+0.25 1.68 1.59
+0.75 1.38 1.31
+1.00 1.23 1.17
+1.25 1.19 1.14
+1.50 1.15 1.12
+1.75 1.09 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.25 5.75
-1.50 4.80 4.40
-1.25 4.40 4.00
-1.00 4.00 3.55
-0.75 3.10 2.85
-0.50 2.50 2.38
-0.25 2.25 2.10
0 1.98 1.82
+0.25 1.70 1.62
+0.50 1.55 1.50
+0.75 1.40 1.35
+1.00 1.27 1.23
+1.25 1.23 1.20
+1.50 1.20 1.18
+1.75 1.14 1.12

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.05 2.73
-0.50 2.50 2.29
-0.25 2.21 2.03
0 1.92 1.76
+0.25 1.67 1.57
+0.50 1.53 1.45
+0.75 1.38 1.32

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.20 2.92
-0.50 2.65 2.42
-0.25 2.32 2.15
+0.25 1.75 1.65
+0.50 1.60 1.50
+0.75 1.44 1.37

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.00 7.80
-1.75 6.15 5.35
-1.50 4.75 4.20
-1.25 4.40 3.82
-1.00 3.98 3.42
-0.75 2.93 2.63
-0.25 2.19 1.99
0 1.95 1.78
+0.25 1.68 1.56
+0.75 1.38 1.31
+1.00 1.23 1.17
+1.25 1.18 1.14
+1.50 1.15 1.12
+1.75 1.09 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.33 3.71
-0.75 3.23 2.84
-0.50 2.68 2.40
-0.25 2.36 2.11
0 2.04 1.83
+0.25 1.76 1.62
+0.50 1.60 1.50
+0.75 1.44 1.36
+1.00 1.29 1.23
Primary Bets
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