Haverfordwest County AFC vs Flint Town United Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Haverfordwest County AFC
Oct 03, 2026 - 13:30
1.44 1.16
Flint Town United
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Haverfordwest County AFC opened at -0.25 against Flint Town United in the Premier League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.25
Haverfordwest County AFC -0.25

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Haverfordwest County AFC -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.00
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Decision
LEAN
Flint Town United +0.25
@ 2.98
Best Available Price · 1xBet
Line Edge
0.00
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.00
Price Advantage
+49.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.74 / 2.66 -0.25 1.63 / 2.97 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.75 / 2.85 -0.25 1.75 / 2.85 — 0
1xBet 0 1.54 / 2.26 -0.25 1.64 / 2.98 — -0.25
Betano -0.25 1.82 / 2.67 -0.25 1.72 / 2.67 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.25
xG 1.44 / 1.16 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.63
Haverfordwest County AFC @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.00
Haverfordwest County AFC @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.63 vs 2.00
Market price is 18.5% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.40 8.65
-1.50 3.42 7.90
-1.25 3.06 7.40
-1.00 2.66 6.80
-0.75 2.16 4.40
-0.25 1.64 2.98
0 1.41 2.60
+0.25 1.30 2.04
+0.75 1.14 1.58
+1.00 1.04 1.37
+1.25 1.03 1.29
+1.50 1.02 1.23

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.45 7.00
-1.25 3.10 6.60
-1.00 2.75 6.00
-0.75 2.30 4.15
-0.50 2.00 3.30
-0.25 1.75 2.85
0 1.50 2.50
+0.25 1.40 2.05
+0.50 1.32 1.80
+0.75 1.22 1.60
+1.00 1.12 1.42
+1.25 1.11 1.35
+1.50 1.10 1.30

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.72 2.67
+0.25 1.44 2.05

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.40 9.30
-1.50 3.42 7.90
-1.25 3.05 7.40
-1.00 2.66 6.80
-0.75 2.14 4.40
-0.25 1.63 2.97
0 1.41 2.60
+0.25 1.30 2.03
+0.75 1.14 1.57
+1.00 1.04 1.37
+1.25 1.03 1.28
+1.50 1.02 1.23
Primary Bets
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