Llandudno vs Holywell Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Llandudno
Final Score
3 – 1
(HT 1-1)
Holywell
Kick-off 18:45 Stadium Maesdu Park

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Llandudno opened at -1.00 against Holywell in the Premier League.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.32 / 1.28
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
—
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-1.00 · 1 / 3 books · Weak
Model–Market Gap
—
No valid tradable market line
3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No tradable main line at the time of the decision.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
—
No bookmaker currently offers a valid two-way pricing main.

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-1.00 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:15
Opening
-1.00
00:15
Last Pre-Match
-1.00
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.75
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.75 1.39 / 8.30 -0.75 1.39 / 8.30 — 0
Bet365 -0.50 1.32 / 6.60 -0.50 1.32 / 6.60 — 0
1xBet -1.00 1.52 / 11.00 -1.00 1.52 / 11.00 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main —

AH Home Away
-1.50 1.91 11.00
-1.00 1.52 11.00
-0.75 1.39 8.30
-0.25 1.21 5.85
0 1.09 5.40
+0.25 1.07 3.58
+0.75 1.02 2.59

Bet365 Main —

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.32 6.60
-0.25 1.24 6.25
0 1.14 5.75
+0.25 1.12 3.90
+0.50 1.11 3.30

Marathonbet Main —

AH Home Away
-0.75 1.39 8.30
-0.25 1.21 5.85
0 1.09 5.40
+0.25 1.07 3.58
+0.75 1.02 2.59
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
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