Naestved vs Nykobing FC Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Naestved
Oct 02, 2026 - 17:00
1.42 1.18
Nykobing FC
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 5 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Naestved opened at 0 against Nykobing FC in the 2. Division. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.21
Naestved -0.21

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Naestved 0
Model–Market Gap
0.21
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.21 AH points more toward Naestved than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Naestved 0
@ 1.97
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.21
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.74
Price Advantage
+13.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.95 / 1.72 0 1.87 / 1.79 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.97 / 1.82 0 1.97 / 1.82 — 0
Bet365 0 1.85 / 1.95 0 1.85 / 1.95 — 0
1xBet 0 1.71 / 2.01 0 1.87 / 1.79 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.86 / 1.81 0 1.86 / 1.81 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.21
xG 1.42 / 1.18 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.97
Naestved @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.74
Naestved @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.97 vs 1.74
Market price is 13.2% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.70 8.80
-2.00 9.20 8.60
-1.75 6.15 5.80
-1.50 4.75 4.50
-1.25 4.40 4.11
-1.00 3.95 3.70
-0.75 2.94 2.75
-0.25 2.16 2.04
0 1.87 1.79
+0.25 1.64 1.58
+0.75 1.36 1.32
+1.00 1.20 1.17
+1.25 1.16 1.14
+1.50 1.13 1.12
+1.75 1.07 1.06
+2.50 1.02 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.75 4.00
-1.25 5.25 3.55
-1.00 4.65 3.30
-0.75 3.45 2.60
-0.50 2.85 2.25
-0.25 2.50 1.98
0 1.85 1.95
+0.25 1.82 1.50
+0.50 1.62 1.40
+0.75 1.48 1.30
+1.00 1.32 1.18
+1.25 1.27 1.16
+1.50 1.23 1.14

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.45 2.40
-0.25 2.16 2.11
0 1.86 1.81
+0.25 1.62 1.60
+0.50 1.49 1.46

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.20 8.60
-1.75 6.15 5.80
-1.50 4.75 4.50
-1.25 4.40 4.10
-1.00 3.95 3.70
-0.75 2.92 2.74
-0.25 2.14 2.03
0 1.87 1.79
+0.25 1.63 1.57
+0.75 1.35 1.31
+1.00 1.20 1.17
+1.25 1.16 1.14
+1.50 1.13 1.12
+1.75 1.07 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.96 2.80
-0.50 2.50 2.31
-0.25 2.25 2.07
0 1.97 1.82
+0.25 1.72 1.61
+0.50 1.56 1.48
+0.75 1.39 1.36
Primary Bets
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