SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

SV Elversberg
Oct 17, 2026 - 13:30
1.92 1.34
FC Augsburg
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

SV Elversberg opened at 0 against FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.55
SV Elversberg -0.55

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
SV Elversberg 0
Model–Market Gap
0.55
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.55 AH points more toward SV Elversberg than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
SV Elversberg 0
@ 1.92
Best Available Price · 1xBet
Line Edge
0.55
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.52
Price Advantage
+26.3%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.86 / 1.97 0 1.86 / 1.97 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.89 / 2.02 0 1.89 / 2.02 — 0
Bet365 0 1.88 / 1.98 0 1.88 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet 0 1.92 / 2.03 0 1.92 / 2.03 — 0
Betano +0.50 1.50 / 1.62 +0.50 1.50 / 1.62 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.79 / 1.88 0 1.79 / 1.88 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.55
xG 1.92 / 1.34 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.89
SV Elversberg @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.52
SV Elversberg @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.89 vs 1.52
Market price is 24.3% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.00 9.70
-2.00 8.20 9.00
-1.75 5.63 6.06
-1.50 4.40 4.80
-1.25 4.07 4.38
-1.00 3.64 3.92
-0.75 2.81 3.02
-0.25 2.21 2.23
0 1.92 2.03
+0.25 1.61 1.78
+0.75 1.33 1.39
+1.00 1.21 1.24
+1.25 1.16 1.20
+1.50 1.13 1.16
+1.75 1.06 1.09

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.75 6.00
-1.50 4.40 4.50
-1.25 4.00 4.25
-1.00 3.55 3.80
-0.75 2.85 3.00
-0.50 2.38 2.50
-0.25 2.15 2.25
0 1.88 1.98
+0.25 1.62 1.68
+0.50 1.50 1.55
+0.75 1.38 1.40
+1.00 1.25 1.27
+1.25 1.21 1.23
+1.50 1.19 1.20
+1.75 1.12 1.14

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.65 3.95
-0.75 2.77 2.95
-0.50 2.33 2.44
-0.25 2.06 2.17
0 1.79 1.88
+0.25 1.59 1.65
+0.50 1.47 1.52
+0.75 1.33 1.37
+1.00 1.19 1.23

Betano Main +0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.37 2.67
+0.50 1.50 1.62

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.20 9.00
-1.75 5.60 6.10
-1.50 4.40 4.80
-1.25 4.05 4.40
-1.00 3.64 3.92
-0.75 2.81 3.04
-0.25 2.10 2.23
0 1.86 1.97
+0.25 1.61 1.69
+0.75 1.34 1.39
+1.00 1.21 1.24
+1.25 1.16 1.19
+1.50 1.13 1.16
+1.75 1.07 1.09

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.90 4.28
-0.75 2.99 3.23
-0.50 2.53 2.69
-0.25 2.20 2.35
0 1.89 2.02
+0.25 1.65 1.73
+0.50 1.52 1.57
+0.75 1.38 1.42
+1.00 1.25 1.28
Primary Bets
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