Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Eintracht Frankfurt
Oct 16, 2026 - 18:30
1.55 1.61
1. FC Köln
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
6 / 6 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Eintracht Frankfurt opened at -0.25 against 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.05
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Eintracht Frankfurt -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.30
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.30 AH points more toward 1. FC Köln than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
1. FC Köln +0.25
@ 3.15
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.30
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.72
Price Advantage
+83.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.68 / 2.90 -0.25 1.68 / 2.90 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.67 / 3.15 -0.25 1.67 / 3.15 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.68 / 3.00 -0.25 1.68 / 3.00 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.77 / 2.90 -0.25 1.77 / 2.90 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.75 / 2.95 -0.25 1.75 / 2.95 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.62 / 2.91 -0.25 1.62 / 2.91 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.05
xG 1.55 / 1.61 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.67
Eintracht Frankfurt @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.39
Eintracht Frankfurt @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.67 vs 2.39
Market price is 30.1% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 3.70 8.20
-1.50 3.04 6.35
-1.25 2.82 5.97
-1.00 2.50 5.65
-0.75 2.11 4.02
-0.25 1.77 2.90
0 1.55 2.71
+0.25 1.38 2.22
+0.75 1.20 1.67
+1.00 1.11 1.47
+1.25 1.08 1.38
+1.50 1.07 1.31
+1.75 1.02 1.22

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.10 6.60
-1.25 2.75 6.25
-1.00 2.50 5.90
-0.75 2.10 4.15
-0.50 1.92 3.45
-0.25 1.68 3.00
0 1.48 2.60
+0.25 1.38 2.15
+0.50 1.30 1.92
+0.75 1.22 1.70
+1.00 1.13 1.50
+1.25 1.12 1.42
+1.50 1.11 1.35

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.82 3.25
-0.25 1.62 2.91
0 1.42 2.58
+0.25 1.34 2.11
+0.50 1.28 1.85

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.75 2.95
+0.25 1.42 2.15

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 3.68 8.20
-1.50 3.04 6.35
-1.25 2.80 6.00
-1.00 2.50 5.65
-0.75 2.11 4.05
-0.25 1.68 2.90
0 1.50 2.62
+0.25 1.38 2.11
+0.75 1.21 1.67
+1.00 1.11 1.47
+1.25 1.09 1.37
+1.50 1.07 1.31
+1.75 1.02 1.21

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.89 3.53
-0.25 1.67 3.15
0 1.46 2.78
+0.25 1.36 2.25
+0.50 1.30 1.96
Primary Bets
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