Valenciennes vs Amiens Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Valenciennes
Oct 17, 2026 - 12:45
1.30 1.30
Amiens
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Valenciennes opened at 0 against Amiens in the Ligue 3. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
0
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Valenciennes 0
Model–Market Gap
0.00
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.86 / 1.80 0 1.86 / 1.80 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.93 / 1.88 0 1.93 / 1.88 — 0
Bet365 0 1.98 / 1.82 0 1.98 / 1.82 — 0
1xBet 0 1.86 / 1.80 0 1.86 / 1.80 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
0
xG 1.30 / 1.30 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.93
Valenciennes @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.00
Valenciennes @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.93 vs 2.00
Market price is 3.5% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.85 8.25
-1.50 5.75 5.50
-1.25 5.24 5.00
-1.00 4.70 4.50
-0.75 3.20 3.08
-0.25 2.22 2.12
0 1.86 1.80
+0.25 1.58 1.56
+0.75 1.28 1.26
+1.00 1.13 1.12
+1.25 1.10 1.09
+1.50 1.08 1.07
+1.75 1.03 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.50 5.00
-1.25 5.00 4.40
-1.00 4.40 4.00
-0.75 3.30 3.00
-0.50 2.60 2.42
-0.25 2.30 2.15
0 1.98 1.82
+0.25 1.68 1.60
+0.50 1.52 1.48
+0.75 1.38 1.32
+1.00 1.23 1.20
+1.25 1.20 1.17
+1.50 1.17 1.15

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.90 7.50
-1.50 5.75 5.50
-1.25 5.25 5.00
-1.00 4.70 4.50
-0.75 3.20 3.08
-0.25 2.19 2.12
0 1.86 1.80
+0.25 1.58 1.54
+0.75 1.28 1.26
+1.00 1.13 1.12
+1.25 1.10 1.09
+1.50 1.08 1.07
+1.75 1.03 1.02

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.89 4.71
-0.75 3.40 3.30
-0.50 2.74 2.66
-0.25 2.34 2.27
0 1.93 1.88
+0.25 1.62 1.59
+0.50 1.46 1.44
+0.75 1.32 1.30
+1.00 1.18 1.17
Primary Bets
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