Cannes vs Fleury 91 Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Cannes
Final Score
1 – 1
(HT 0-1)
Fleury 91
Kick-off 17:00 Stadium Stade Pierre de Coubertin

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Cannes opened at -0.25 against Fleury 91 in the Ligue 3. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 5 valid books, with 60% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is -0.75.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.09
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.25 / 1.35
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Cannes -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 3 / 5 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
0.34
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.34 AH points more toward Fleury 91 than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Fleury 91 +0.25
@ 3.04
Best Available Price · Marathonbet
Line Edge
0.34
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.66
Price Advantage
+83.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 5 valid books · 60% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
16:15
Opening
-0.25
14:10
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.75
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.75
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
10Bet 0 1.73 / 1.95 0 1.73 / 1.95 — 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.64 / 3.04 -0.25 1.64 / 3.04 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.75 2.22 / 3.19 -0.75 2.21 / 3.19 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.66 / 3.04 -0.25 1.66 / 3.04 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.65 / 2.89 -0.25 1.60 / 2.86 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

10Bet Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.73 1.95

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.68 8.70
-1.25 3.20 8.05
-1.00 2.83 7.50
-0.75 2.19 4.64
-0.25 1.66 3.04
0 1.41 2.62
+0.25 1.29 2.05
+0.75 1.12 1.54
+1.00 1.03 1.33
+1.25 1.02 1.26

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.60 2.86
0 1.36 2.82
+0.25 1.35 2.15

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.68 8.70
-1.25 3.20 8.10
-1.00 2.83 7.50
-0.75 2.19 4.65
-0.25 1.64 3.04
0 1.41 2.62
+0.25 1.29 2.02
+0.75 1.12 1.54
+1.00 1.03 1.33
+1.25 1.02 1.26

Pinnacle Main -0.75

AH Home Away
-1.00 2.69 4.15
-0.75 2.21 3.19
-0.50 1.93 4.30
-0.25 1.65 3.72
0 1.38 3.14
+0.25 1.28 2.28
+0.50 1.23 1.92
+0.75 1.33 1.69
+1.00 1.22 1.48
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
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