Traiskirchen vs Oberwart Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Traiskirchen
Final Score
1 – 1
(HT 1-0)
Oberwart
Kick-off 17:30

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Traiskirchen opened at 0 against Oberwart in the Regionalliga - Ost. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 2 of 4 valid books, with 50% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.18
Traiskirchen +0.18

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

xG (pre-match) 1.20 / 1.40
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Traiskirchen 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 2 / 4 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
0.18
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.18 AH points more toward Oberwart than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Oberwart 0
@ 2.01
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.18
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.77
Price Advantage
+13.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
2 / 4 valid books · 50% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
12:30
Opening
0
12:01
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.83 / 1.82 -0.25 1.90 / 2.24 — -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.70 / 2.01 0 1.70 / 2.01 — 0
Bet365 0 1.90 / 1.90 0 1.82 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet 0 1.84 / 1.86 -0.25 1.92 / 2.24 — -0.25
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 6.95 8.70
-2.00 6.30 8.20
-1.75 4.60 5.80
-1.50 3.72 4.60
-1.25 3.34 4.25
-1.00 3.05 3.90
-0.75 2.46 2.97
-0.25 1.92 2.24
0 1.69 1.99
+0.25 1.52 1.75
+0.75 1.30 1.43
+1.00 1.18 1.28
+1.25 1.15 1.24
+1.50 1.13 1.20
+1.75 1.07 1.13
+2.00 1.02 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 6.80 6.80
-1.75 5.00 5.00
-1.50 3.90 3.90
-1.25 3.55 3.55
-1.00 3.45 3.45
-0.75 2.68 2.68
-0.50 2.35 2.35
-0.25 2.10 2.10
0 1.82 1.98
+0.25 1.70 1.70
+0.50 1.58 1.58
+0.75 1.45 1.45
+1.00 1.30 1.30
+1.25 1.27 1.27
+1.50 1.24 1.24
+1.75 1.17 1.17
+2.00 1.10 1.10

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 6.95 8.70
-2.00 6.30 8.20
-1.75 4.60 5.80
-1.50 3.72 4.60
-1.25 3.34 4.25
-1.00 3.05 3.90
-0.75 2.46 2.97
-0.25 1.90 2.24
0 1.69 1.99
+0.25 1.52 1.73
+0.75 1.30 1.43
+1.00 1.18 1.28
+1.25 1.15 1.24
+1.50 1.13 1.20
+1.75 1.07 1.13
+2.00 1.02 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.43 2.90
-0.50 2.13 2.48
-0.25 1.93 2.24
0 1.70 2.01
+0.25 1.54 1.78
+0.50 1.44 1.62
+0.75 1.33 1.46
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

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