Leobendorf vs SV Horn Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Leobendorf
Final Score
0 – 0
(HT 0-0)
SV Horn
Kick-off 16:00 Stadium Franz Haas Stadion

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Leobendorf opened at 0 against SV Horn in the Regionalliga - Ost. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.11
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.24 / 1.36
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Leobendorf 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.11
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.11 AH points more toward SV Horn than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
SV Horn 0
@ 2.02
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.11
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.86
Price Advantage
+8.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:15
Opening
0
12:01
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
10Bet 0 1.73 / 1.93 0 1.73 / 1.93 — 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.53 / 2.30 0 1.73 / 1.96 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.71 / 1.95 0 1.71 / 1.96 — 0
Bet365 0 1.78 / 2.02 0 1.78 / 2.02 — 0
1xBet 0 1.53 / 2.30 0 1.73 / 1.96 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.81 / 2.00 -0.25 1.80 / 2.00 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

10Bet Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.73 1.93

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.50 10.50
-2.00 7.80 9.10
-1.75 5.40 6.45
-1.50 4.25 5.05
-1.25 3.88 4.65
-1.00 3.48 4.25
-0.75 2.62 3.08
-0.25 1.99 2.24
0 1.73 1.96
+0.25 1.52 1.70
+0.75 1.28 1.38
+1.00 1.15 1.22
+1.25 1.12 1.18
+1.50 1.10 1.15
+1.75 1.05 1.09

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.78 2.02

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.02 2.23
-0.25 1.80 2.00
0 1.58 1.76
+0.25 1.43 1.55
+0.50 1.33 1.42

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.50 8.50
-2.00 7.80 9.10
-1.75 5.40 6.45
-1.50 4.25 5.05
-1.25 3.88 4.65
-1.00 3.48 4.25
-0.75 2.62 3.08
-0.25 1.96 2.24
0 1.73 1.96
+0.25 1.52 1.68
+0.75 1.28 1.38
+1.00 1.15 1.22
+1.25 1.12 1.18
+1.50 1.10 1.15
+1.75 1.05 1.09

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.56 2.98
-0.50 2.19 2.48
-0.25 1.96 2.23
0 1.71 1.96
+0.25 1.53 1.69
+0.50 1.41 1.53
+0.75 1.29 1.39
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

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