Olot vs Terrassa Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Olot
Oct 11, 2026 - 16:00
1.32 1.28
Terrassa
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
2 / 3 books · 67% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Olot opened at -0.25 against Terrassa in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 2 of 3 valid books, with 67% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Olot -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.21
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 2 / 3 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.21 AH points more toward Terrassa than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Terrassa +0.25
@ 2.55
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.21
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.77
Price Advantage
+44.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
2 / 3 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.59 / 3.20 -0.25 1.94 / 2.43 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.72 / 2.10 0 1.72 / 2.10 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.59 / 3.20 -0.25 1.97 / 2.42 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.04
xG 1.32 / 1.28 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.94
Olot @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.30
Olot @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.94 vs 2.30
Market price is 15.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.95 6.65
-1.00 3.98 5.55
-0.75 2.78 3.58
-0.25 1.97 2.42
0 1.65 2.05
+0.25 1.44 1.71
+0.75 1.21 1.34
+1.00 1.08 1.17
+1.50 1.05 1.11

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.95 6.75
-1.00 3.94 5.65
-0.75 2.74 3.58
-0.25 1.94 2.43
0 1.64 2.06
+0.25 1.44 1.70
+0.75 1.21 1.35
+1.00 1.08 1.17
+1.50 1.04 1.11

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.00 3.82
-0.50 2.47 2.97
-0.25 2.11 2.55
0 1.72 2.10
+0.25 1.48 1.69
+0.50 1.35 1.49
+0.75 1.23 1.35
Primary Bets
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