Portugalete vs Eibar II Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Portugalete
Oct 17, 2026 - 15:00
1.32 1.28
Eibar II
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Portugalete opened at 0 against Eibar II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Portugalete 0
Model–Market Gap
0.04
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.04 AH points more toward Portugalete than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Portugalete 0
@ 2.11
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.04
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.95
Price Advantage
+8.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.71 / 1.96 0 1.98 / 1.70 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.53 / 2.07 -0.25 2.53 / 2.07 — 0
Bet365 0 1.75 / 2.05 0 2.02 / 1.78 — 0
1xBet 0 1.71 / 1.96 0 1.98 / 1.70 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.79 / 1.56 0 1.79 / 1.56 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.04
xG 1.32 / 1.28 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.98
Portugalete @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.95
Portugalete @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.98 vs 1.95
Market price is 1.5% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.50 9.20
-1.50 5.95 4.90
-1.25 5.68 4.45
-1.00 5.10 3.98
-0.75 3.42 2.83
-0.25 2.38 2.00
0 1.98 1.70
+0.25 1.65 1.49
+0.75 1.33 1.23
+1.00 1.17 1.10
+1.25 1.14 1.08
+1.50 1.11 1.07

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 2.02 1.78

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.79 1.56

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.95 4.90
-1.25 4.75 4.45
-1.00 5.10 3.98
-0.75 3.42 2.83
-0.25 2.35 2.00
0 1.98 1.70
+0.25 1.65 1.47
+0.75 1.33 1.23
+1.00 1.17 1.10
+1.25 1.14 1.12
+1.50 1.11 1.07

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.95 2.41
-0.25 2.53 2.07
0 2.11 1.69
+0.25 1.75 1.47
+0.50 1.54 1.36
Primary Bets
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