Juventud Torremolinos vs Gimnastic Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Juventud Torremolinos
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:30
1.36 1.24
Gimnastic
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Juventud Torremolinos opened at -0.25 against Gimnastic in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.11
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Juventud Torremolinos -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.14
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.14 AH points more toward Gimnastic than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Juventud Torremolinos -0.25
@ 2.50
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.14
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.19
Price Advantage
+14.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.38 / 1.91 -0.25 2.38 / 1.91 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 2.50 / 2.00 -0.25 2.50 / 2.00 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.40 / 1.91 -0.25 2.40 / 1.91 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.11
xG 1.36 / 1.24 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.38
Juventud Torremolinos @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.19
Juventud Torremolinos @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.38 vs 2.19
Market price is 8.7% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.65 5.64
-1.50 5.85 4.40
-1.25 5.40 3.96
-1.00 4.95 3.50
-0.75 3.34 2.59
-0.25 2.40 1.91
0 2.05 1.65
+0.25 1.72 1.48
+0.75 1.39 1.24
+1.00 1.22 1.11
+1.25 1.18 1.09
+1.50 1.14 1.07
+1.75 1.08 1.02

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.25 4.40
-1.25 5.75 4.00
-1.00 5.25 3.55
-0.75 3.55 2.68
-0.50 2.85 2.30
-0.25 2.50 2.00
0 2.15 1.68
+0.25 1.80 1.50
+0.50 1.60 1.40
+0.75 1.45 1.27
+1.00 1.27 1.16
+1.25 1.23 1.14
+1.50 1.20 1.12

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.70 5.65
-1.50 5.85 4.40
-1.25 5.40 3.95
-1.00 4.95 3.50
-0.75 3.34 2.59
-0.25 2.38 1.91
0 2.05 1.65
+0.25 1.72 1.46
+0.75 1.39 1.24
+1.00 1.22 1.11
+1.25 1.17 1.09
+1.50 1.14 1.07
+1.75 1.08 1.03
Primary Bets
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