Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Oct 16, 2026 - 19:00
2.13 1.51
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
6 / 6 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Deportivo La Coruna opened at -0.25 against Levante in the La Liga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.59
Deportivo La Coruna -0.59

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Deportivo La Coruna -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.34
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.34 AH points more toward Deportivo La Coruna than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Levante +0.25
@ 3.07
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.34
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.38
Price Advantage
+29.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.77 / 2.90 -0.25 1.77 / 2.90 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.81 / 3.07 -0.25 1.81 / 3.07 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.82 / 2.85 -0.25 1.82 / 2.85 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.86 / 2.90 -0.25 1.86 / 2.90 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.83 / 3.00 -0.25 1.83 / 3.00 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.74 / 2.82 -0.25 1.74 / 2.82 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.59
xG 2.13 / 1.51 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.81
Deportivo La Coruna @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.73
Deportivo La Coruna @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.81 vs 1.73
Market price is 4.6% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.72 9.10
-1.50 3.66 7.10
-1.25 3.36 6.66
-1.00 2.99 6.30
-0.75 2.35 4.22
-0.25 1.86 2.90
0 1.58 2.62
+0.25 1.38 2.09
+0.75 1.18 1.54
+1.00 1.08 1.34
+1.25 1.06 1.28
+1.50 1.05 1.22

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.25 3.45 6.80
-1.00 3.10 6.40
-0.75 2.38 4.15
-0.50 2.08 3.30
-0.25 1.82 2.85
0 1.52 2.42
+0.25 1.40 2.02
+0.50 1.32 1.72
+0.75 1.22 1.55
+1.00 1.12 1.35
+1.25 1.10 1.30

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.05 6.45
-0.75 2.36 4.20
-0.50 2.00 3.25
-0.25 1.74 2.82
0 1.48 2.41
+0.25 1.36 1.94
+0.50 1.28 1.69
+0.75 1.17 1.50
+1.00 1.07 1.31

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.10 3.45
-0.25 1.83 3.00
+0.25 1.42 2.02
+0.50 1.33 1.78

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.70 9.10
-1.50 3.66 7.10
-1.25 3.34 6.70
-1.00 2.99 6.30
-0.75 2.35 4.25
-0.25 1.77 2.90
0 1.53 2.54
+0.25 1.38 1.98
+0.75 1.19 1.54
+1.00 1.08 1.34
+1.25 1.07 1.27
+1.50 1.05 1.22

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.43 4.54
-0.50 2.08 3.51
-0.25 1.81 3.07
0 1.52 2.60
+0.25 1.39 2.06
+0.50 1.31 1.78
+0.75 1.21 1.57