Levante vs Athletic Club Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Levante
Sep 16, 2026 - 19:30 PST
1.53 1.32
Athletic Club
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
-0.25
PRE1 consensus
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 8 books · 62% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Levante opened at -0.25 against Athletic Club in the La Liga. The current market consensus is -0.25, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 8 valid books, with 62% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.19
Levante -0.19

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Levante -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.06
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 6 / 8 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.06 AH points more toward Athletic Club than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Levante -0.25
@ 2.97
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.06
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.07
Price Advantage
+43.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 8 valid books · 62% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
10Bet 0 2.20 / 1.62 0 2.20 / 1.62 — 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.61 / 1.87 -0.25 2.74 / 1.82 -0.25 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.75 / 1.94 -0.25 2.97 / 1.91 -0.25 0
Bet365 -0.25 2.68 / 1.92 -0.25 2.85 / 1.88 -0.25 0
1xBet -0.25 2.76 / 1.87 -0.25 2.89 / 1.82 +0.25 0
Unibet -0.50 2.90 / 2.10 -0.50 2.90 / 2.10 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.91 / 1.50 -0.25 2.92 / 1.85 -0.25 -0.50
BetVictor -0.25 2.61 / 1.84 -0.25 2.70 / 1.78 -0.25 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.19
xG 1.53 / 1.32 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Closing consensus
Market Odds
2.97
Levante @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.07
Levante @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.97 vs 2.07
Market price is 43.5% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

10Bet Main 0

AH Home Away
0 2.20 1.62

1xBet Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.45 4.62
-1.50 6.40 3.66
-1.25 6.08 3.32
-1.00 5.70 3.04
-0.75 3.92 2.39
-0.25 2.89 1.82
0 2.49 1.63
+0.25 1.93 1.50
+0.75 1.51 1.22
+1.00 1.33 1.10
+1.25 1.26 1.09
+1.50 1.22 1.07
+1.75 1.13 1.03

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.80 3.80
-1.25 6.40 3.45
-1.00 5.90 3.10
-0.75 4.00 2.42
-0.50 3.30 2.10
-0.25 2.85 1.88
0 2.38 1.55
+0.25 1.98 1.40
+0.50 1.70 1.32
+0.75 1.52 1.23
+1.00 1.35 1.13
+1.25 1.30 1.12
+1.50 1.25 1.10

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.00 5.80 3.05
-0.75 3.90 2.38
-0.50 3.05 2.02
-0.25 2.70 1.78
0 2.31 1.52
+0.25 1.90 1.39
+0.50 1.68 1.31
+0.75 1.49 1.20
+1.00 1.31 1.09

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 3.35 2.12
-0.25 2.92 1.85
+0.25 2.00 1.44
+0.50 1.75 1.35

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.20 4.65
-1.50 6.40 3.66
-1.25 6.05 3.34
-1.00 5.65 3.04
-0.75 3.92 2.40
-0.25 2.74 1.82
0 2.42 1.58
+0.25 1.93 1.42
+0.75 1.52 1.22
+1.00 1.33 1.11
+1.25 1.27 1.08
+1.50 1.22 1.07
+1.75 1.13 1.02

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 4.38 2.59
-0.50 3.41 2.21
-0.25 2.97 1.91
0 2.50 1.60
+0.25 2.01 1.45
+0.50 1.75 1.35
+0.75 1.56 1.25

Unibet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.90 2.10
+0.50 1.62 1.34
Primary Bets
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