Getafe vs Racing Santander Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Getafe
Final Score
1 – 0
(HT 0-0)
Racing Santander
Kick-off 17:30 Stadium Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Getafe opened at -0.25 against Racing Santander in the La Liga. The current market consensus is -0.25, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.45
Getafe +0.45

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

xG (pre-match) 0.96 / 1.46
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Getafe -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.70
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.70 AH points more toward Racing Santander than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Racing Santander +0.25
@ 3.06
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.70
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.40
Price Advantage
+118.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → -0.25
Pinnacle Closing
-0.25
Consensus Closing
-0.25
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
20:41
Opening
-0.25
17:12
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
17:29
PRE1
-0.25
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.74 / 3.18 -0.25 1.85 / 2.80 -0.25 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.52 / 2.68 -0.25 1.97 / 3.06 -0.25 -0.25
Bet365 -0.25 1.85 / 3.10 -0.25 1.95 / 3.00 -0.25 0
1xBet -0.25 1.85 / 3.18 -0.25 1.97 / 2.80 -0.25 0
Betano -0.25 1.85 / 3.20 -0.25 1.93 / 2.90 -0.25 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.72 / 3.20 -0.25 1.85 / 2.77 -0.25 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.40 7.60
-1.25 4.04 7.09
-1.00 3.60 6.55
-0.75 2.59 4.22
-0.25 1.97 2.80
0 1.62 2.52
+0.25 1.36 1.97
+0.75 1.15 1.45
+1.00 1.05 1.29
+1.25 1.04 1.24
+1.50 1.03 1.17

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.45 7.00
-0.75 2.60 4.50
-0.50 2.15 3.45
-0.25 1.95 3.00
0 1.52 2.42
+0.25 1.38 1.90
+0.50 1.30 1.68
+0.75 1.19 1.48
+1.00 1.10 1.30

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.70 6.80
-0.75 2.65 4.25
-0.50 2.17 3.25
-0.25 1.85 2.77
0 1.53 2.29
+0.25 1.37 1.82
+0.50 1.28 1.59
+0.75 1.17 1.40
+1.00 1.06 1.22

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.25 3.35
-0.25 1.93 2.90
+0.25 1.44 1.93
+0.50 1.35 1.67

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.40 7.60
-1.25 3.92 7.10
-1.00 3.60 6.60
-0.75 2.59 4.25
-0.25 1.85 2.80
0 1.51 2.36
+0.25 1.36 1.85
+0.75 1.16 1.45
+1.00 1.05 1.29
+1.25 1.04 1.22
+1.50 1.03 1.17

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.80 4.75
-0.50 2.32 3.59
-0.25 1.97 3.06
0 1.60 2.50
+0.25 1.43 1.95
+0.50 1.33 1.68
+0.75 1.22 1.50
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

View Full Audit Report →
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