Eibar vs Mallorca Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Eibar
Oct 17, 2026 - 14:15
1.63 1.38
Mallorca
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Eibar opened at 0 against Mallorca in the Segunda División. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.23
Eibar -0.23

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Eibar 0
Model–Market Gap
0.23
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.23 AH points more toward Eibar than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Eibar 0
@ 1.85
Best Available Price · 1xBet
Line Edge
0.23
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.75
Price Advantage
+5.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.79 / 1.94 0 1.79 / 1.94 — 0
Bet365 0 1.78 / 2.02 0 1.78 / 2.02 — 0
1xBet 0 1.90 / 1.94 0 1.85 / 2.00 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.47 / 2.80 -0.50 2.47 / 2.80 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.75 / 1.93 0 1.75 / 1.93 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.23
xG 1.63 / 1.38 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.79
Eibar @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.75
Eibar @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.79 vs 1.75
Market price is 2.3% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.15 6.95
-1.50 4.75 5.30
-1.25 4.32 4.89
-1.00 3.88 4.45
-0.75 2.82 3.10
-0.25 2.16 2.23
0 1.85 2.00
+0.25 1.54 1.73
+0.75 1.28 1.33
+1.00 1.14 1.18
+1.25 1.11 1.14
+1.50 1.09 1.12
+1.75 1.04 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.78 2.02

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.41 2.66
-0.25 2.08 2.29
0 1.75 1.93
+0.25 1.53 1.64
+0.50 1.40 1.48

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.47 2.80
+0.50 1.47 1.57

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.15 6.95
-1.50 4.75 5.30
-1.25 4.33 4.90
-1.00 3.88 4.45
-0.75 2.82 3.10
-0.25 2.05 2.23
0 1.79 1.94
+0.25 1.54 1.64
+0.75 1.28 1.33
+1.00 1.14 1.18
+1.25 1.11 1.14
+1.50 1.09 1.12
+1.75 1.04 1.06
Primary Bets
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