Oviedo vs Eibar Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Oviedo
Oct 12, 2026 - 16:30
1.17 1.07
Eibar
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
6 / 6 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Oviedo opened at -0.25 against Eibar in the Segunda División. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.09
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Oviedo -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.16
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.16 AH points more toward Eibar than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Eibar +0.25
@ 3.02
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.16
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.80
Price Advantage
+67.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.86 / 2.61 -0.25 1.77 / 2.80 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.99 / 2.83 -0.25 1.87 / 3.02 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.95 / 2.75 -0.25 1.82 / 2.85 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.96 / 2.61 -0.25 1.86 / 2.80 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.95 / 2.80 -0.25 1.95 / 2.80 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.88 / 2.62 -0.25 1.78 / 2.84 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.09
xG 1.17 / 1.07 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.87
Oviedo @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.25
Oviedo @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.87 vs 2.25
Market price is 16.9% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.10 9.10
-1.50 3.96 7.40
-1.25 3.50 6.94
-1.00 3.08 6.45
-0.75 2.39 4.19
-0.25 1.86 2.80
0 1.56 2.50
+0.25 1.35 1.98
+0.75 1.15 1.46
+1.00 1.05 1.28
+1.25 1.04 1.22
+1.50 1.03 1.17

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.25 3.70 6.80
-1.00 3.30 6.80
-0.75 2.50 4.25
-0.50 2.10 3.45
-0.25 1.82 2.85
0 1.52 2.42
+0.25 1.40 1.98
+0.50 1.30 1.70
+0.75 1.21 1.50
+1.00 1.10 1.32
+1.25 1.10 1.26

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.78 2.84
0 1.49 2.39
+0.25 1.35 1.90

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.75 3.80
-0.50 2.18 3.40
-0.25 1.95 2.80
+0.25 1.47 1.88
+0.50 1.34 1.72
+0.75 1.29 1.47

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.10 9.10
-1.50 3.96 7.40
-1.25 3.50 6.95
-1.00 3.08 6.45
-0.75 2.39 4.20
-0.25 1.77 2.80
0 1.51 2.43
+0.25 1.35 1.88
+0.75 1.16 1.46
+1.00 1.05 1.28
+1.25 1.04 1.22
+1.50 1.03 1.17

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.61 4.57
-0.50 2.18 3.49
-0.25 1.87 3.02
0 1.55 2.52
+0.25 1.40 1.98
+0.50 1.31 1.71
+0.75 1.21 1.51
Primary Bets
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