Eldense vs Cordoba Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Eldense
Oct 10, 2026 - 16:30
1.11 1.13
Cordoba
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 6 books · 50% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Eldense opened at 0 against Cordoba in the Segunda División. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 6 valid books, with 50% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.02
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Eldense 0
Model–Market Gap
0.02
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 6 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.02 AH points more toward Cordoba than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Cordoba 0
@ 2.30
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.02
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.97
Price Advantage
+16.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 6 valid books · 50% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.79 / 1.94 0 1.77 / 1.96 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.81 / 2.05 0 1.83 / 2.03 — 0
Bet365 0 1.80 / 2.00 -0.25 1.82 / 2.68 — -0.25
1xBet 0 1.84 / 2.01 0 1.83 / 2.02 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.62 / 1.75 +0.25 1.62 / 1.75 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.77 / 1.91 -0.25 1.95 / 2.36 — -0.25
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.02
xG 1.11 / 1.13 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.83
Eldense @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.03
Eldense @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.83 vs 2.03
Market price is 9.9% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.90 10.00
-2.00 8.70 9.20
-1.75 5.80 7.44
-1.50 4.50 5.20
-1.25 4.09 4.76
-1.00 3.58 4.30
-0.75 2.75 3.09
-0.25 2.13 2.25
0 1.83 2.02
+0.25 1.53 1.75
+0.75 1.28 1.35
+1.00 1.14 1.21
+1.25 1.12 1.16
+1.50 1.10 1.13
+1.75 1.05 1.07

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.65 6.80
-1.50 3.70 6.25
-1.25 3.30 5.75
-1.00 3.00 5.50
-0.75 2.38 3.70
-0.50 2.05 3.00
-0.25 1.82 2.68
0 1.60 2.30
+0.25 1.45 1.98
+0.50 1.38 1.75
+0.75 1.26 1.55
+1.00 1.15 1.38
+1.25 1.14 1.32
+1.50 1.12 1.26
+1.75 1.10 1.18

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.22 2.60
-0.25 1.95 2.36
0 1.67 2.03
+0.25 1.50 1.73
+0.50 1.42 1.56

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.90 3.30
-0.50 2.22 3.00
-0.25 2.12 2.37
+0.25 1.62 1.75
+0.50 1.42 1.70
+0.75 1.36 1.44

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.80 6.80
-1.50 4.50 5.20
-1.25 4.10 4.75
-1.00 3.58 4.30
-0.75 2.75 3.10
-0.25 2.02 2.25
0 1.77 1.96
+0.25 1.53 1.66
+0.75 1.28 1.35
+1.00 1.14 1.21
+1.25 1.12 1.16
+1.50 1.10 1.13
+1.75 1.04 1.07

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.98 4.49
-0.75 2.97 3.31
-0.50 2.47 2.73
-0.25 2.15 2.38
0 1.83 2.03
+0.25 1.61 1.73
+0.50 1.47 1.56
+0.75 1.34 1.40
+1.00 1.21 1.25
Primary Bets
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