Eldense vs Oviedo Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Eldense
Oct 02, 2026 - 18:30
1.01 1.23
Oviedo
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Eldense opened at 0 against Oviedo in the Segunda División. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.19
Eldense +0.19

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Eldense 0
Model–Market Gap
0.19
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.19 AH points more toward Oviedo than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Oviedo 0
@ 1.95
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.19
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.73
Price Advantage
+12.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.87 / 1.86 0 1.87 / 1.87 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.96 / 1.89 0 1.95 / 1.89 — 0
Bet365 0 1.85 / 1.95 0 1.85 / 1.95 — 0
1xBet 0 2.10 / 1.77 0 1.92 / 1.92 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.67 / 1.62 +0.25 1.65 / 1.65 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.85 / 1.82 0 1.83 / 1.83 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.19
xG 1.01 / 1.23 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.95
Eldense @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.36
Eldense @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.95 vs 2.36
Market price is 17.4% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.09 7.10
-1.50 5.35 5.35
-1.25 4.89 4.89
-1.00 4.40 4.40
-0.75 3.10 3.09
-0.25 2.29 2.17
0 1.92 1.92
+0.25 1.57 1.65
+0.75 1.28 1.28
+1.00 1.14 1.14
+1.25 1.11 1.11
+1.50 1.09 1.09
+1.75 1.04 1.04

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.75 5.90
-1.25 5.00 5.50
-1.00 4.40 4.65
-0.75 3.10 3.30
-0.50 2.60 2.68
-0.25 2.20 2.30
0 1.85 1.95
+0.25 1.60 1.65
+0.50 1.45 1.48
+0.75 1.32 1.35
+1.00 1.18 1.20
+1.25 1.15 1.17
+1.50 1.13 1.14

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.56 2.56
-0.25 2.19 2.19
0 1.83 1.83
+0.25 1.58 1.58
+0.50 1.43 1.43

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.35 3.35
-0.50 2.70 2.67
-0.25 2.32 2.30
+0.25 1.65 1.65
+0.50 1.50 1.50
+0.75 1.35 1.35

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.10 7.10
-1.50 5.35 5.35
-1.25 4.90 4.90
-1.00 4.40 4.40
-0.75 3.10 3.10
-0.25 2.17 2.17
0 1.87 1.87
+0.25 1.57 1.57
+0.75 1.28 1.28
+1.00 1.14 1.14
+1.25 1.11 1.11
+1.50 1.09 1.09
+1.75 1.04 1.04

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 5.04 4.81
-0.75 3.45 3.33
-0.50 2.76 2.68
-0.25 2.36 2.29
0 1.95 1.89
+0.25 1.65 1.61
+0.50 1.49 1.46
+0.75 1.33 1.32
+1.00 1.19 1.18
Primary Bets
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