Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Warta Sieradz
Final Score
1 – 3
(HT 1-3)
Wigry Suwałki
Kick-off 17:00

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Warta Sieradz opened at 0 against Wigry Suwałki in the III Liga - Group 1. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.07
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.34 / 1.26
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Warta Sieradz 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.07
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.07 AH points more toward Warta Sieradz than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:15
Opening
0
12:01
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.33 / 1.88 0 1.82 / 1.83 — +0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.85 / 1.85 0 1.85 / 1.85 — 0
1xBet 0 1.62 / 2.11 0 1.82 / 1.83 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.40 / 1.93 0 1.83 / 1.84 — +0.25
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.50 8.10
-2.00 8.70 8.80
-1.50 4.60 4.70
-1.25 4.24 3.58
-1.00 3.82 3.88
-0.75 2.83 2.87
-0.25 2.10 2.10
0 1.82 1.83
+0.25 1.59 1.62
+0.75 1.32 1.33
+1.00 1.18 1.18
+1.25 1.21 1.15
+1.50 1.12 1.13
+2.50 1.02 1.04

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.44 2.44
-0.25 2.14 2.15
0 1.83 1.84
+0.25 1.60 1.61
+0.50 1.47 1.47

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.70 8.80
-1.50 4.60 4.70
-1.25 4.25 3.58
-1.00 3.82 3.88
-0.75 2.83 2.88
-0.25 2.08 2.10
0 1.82 1.83
+0.25 1.59 1.60
+0.75 1.32 1.33
+1.00 1.18 1.18
+1.25 1.21 1.15
+1.50 1.12 1.13

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.89 2.90
-0.50 2.43 2.43
-0.25 2.15 2.15
0 1.85 1.85
+0.25 1.61 1.61
+0.50 1.46 1.46
+0.75 1.33 1.33
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
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