Kluczevia Stargard vs Luzino Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Kluczevia Stargard
Oct 17, 2026 - 11:00
1.23 1.37
Luzino
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 5 books · 60% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
-0.25
Toward Home · Opening → Current

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Kluczevia Stargard opened at 0 against Luzino in the III Liga - Group 2. The current market consensus is -0.25. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Kluczevia Stargard from the opening line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 5 valid books, with 60% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.12
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Kluczevia Stargard -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.37
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 5 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.37 AH points more toward Luzino than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Kluczevia Stargard -0.25
@ 2.81
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.37
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.59
Price Advantage
+8.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 5 valid books · 60% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.96 / 1.71 -0.25 2.62 / 1.70 — -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.81 / 1.66 -0.25 2.81 / 1.66 — 0
Bet365 0 2.00 / 1.80 0 2.00 / 1.80 — 0
1xBet 0 1.96 / 1.71 -0.25 2.65 / 1.70 — -0.25
BetVictor -0.50 2.56 / 1.91 -0.50 2.56 / 1.91 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.12
xG 1.23 / 1.37 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.81
Kluczevia Stargard @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.59
Kluczevia Stargard @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.81 vs 2.59
Market price is 8.5% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.80 5.60
-1.50 5.90 3.28
-1.00 5.15 2.66
-0.75 3.68 2.17
-0.25 2.65 1.70
0 2.34 1.50
+0.25 1.94 1.39
+0.75 1.55 1.20
+1.00 1.37 1.10
+1.50 1.25 1.07

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 2.00 1.80

BetVictor Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.56 1.91
-0.25 2.25 1.69
0 2.44 1.47
+0.25 2.01 1.55
+0.50 1.77 1.43

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.80 5.60
-1.50 5.90 3.28
-1.00 5.15 2.66
-0.75 3.68 2.17
-0.25 2.62 1.70
0 2.34 1.50
+0.25 1.94 1.38
+0.75 1.55 1.20
+1.00 1.37 1.10
+1.50 1.25 1.07

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.81 1.66
0 2.48 1.44
+0.25 2.07 1.35
Primary Bets
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