Elana Toruń vs Flota Świnoujście Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Elana Toruń
Final Score
1 – 0
(HT 0-0)
Flota Świnoujście
Kick-off 16:00

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Elana Toruń opened at 0 against Flota Świnoujście in the III Liga - Group 2. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.12
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.23 / 1.37
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Elana Toruń 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 5 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.12
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.12 AH points more toward Flota Świnoujście than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Flota Świnoujście 0
@ 1.98
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.12
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.84
Price Advantage
+7.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
00:15
Opening
0
12:01
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.80 / 1.86 0 1.93 / 1.74 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.88 / 2.38 0 1.93 / 1.78 — +0.25
Bet365 0 1.85 / 1.95 0 1.82 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet 0 2.09 / 1.63 0 1.93 / 1.74 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.80 / 1.87 0 1.89 / 1.79 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.50 7.50
-2.00 8.90 7.50
-1.50 4.80 4.15
-1.25 4.04 3.80
-1.00 4.00 3.42
-0.75 2.97 2.62
-0.25 2.22 1.96
0 1.93 1.74
+0.25 1.68 1.56
+0.75 1.38 1.30
+1.00 1.23 1.17
+1.25 1.19 1.16
+1.50 1.16 1.12
+2.50 1.05 1.04

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.25 5.75
-1.50 4.10 4.40
-1.25 3.70 4.10
-1.00 3.45 3.70
-0.75 2.75 3.00
-0.50 2.35 2.50
-0.25 2.08 2.25
0 1.82 1.98
+0.25 1.62 1.72
+0.50 1.50 1.58
+0.75 1.38 1.42
+1.00 1.26 1.30
+1.25 1.23 1.26
+1.50 1.20 1.23
+1.75 1.14 1.16

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.48 2.36
-0.25 2.19 2.07
0 1.89 1.79
+0.25 1.65 1.58
+0.50 1.50 1.46

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.90 7.50
-1.50 4.80 4.15
-1.25 4.05 3.80
-1.00 4.00 3.42
-0.75 2.97 2.62
-0.25 2.19 1.96
0 1.93 1.74
+0.25 1.68 1.54
+0.75 1.38 1.30
+1.00 1.23 1.17
+1.25 1.19 1.16
+1.50 1.16 1.12

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.85 2.62
-0.50 2.41 2.24
-0.25 2.18 2.02
0 1.93 1.78
+0.25 1.68 1.58
+0.50 1.53 1.46
+0.75 1.39 1.33
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

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