Floridsdorfer AC vs Admira Wacker Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Floridsdorfer AC
Oct 17, 2026 - 13:30
1.40 1.20
Admira Wacker
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
+0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
2 / 3 books · 67% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Floridsdorfer AC opened at -0.25 against Admira Wacker in the 2. Liga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 2 of 3 valid books, with 67% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is +0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.18
Floridsdorfer AC -0.18

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Floridsdorfer AC -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.07
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 2 / 3 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.07 AH points more toward Admira Wacker than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Admira Wacker +0.25
@ 2.56
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.07
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.92
Price Advantage
+33.3%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
2 / 3 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP +0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
+0.25
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.89 / 2.43 -0.25 1.89 / 2.43 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP +0.25 1.50 / 1.83 +0.25 1.50 / 1.83 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.93 / 2.43 -0.25 1.93 / 2.43 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.18
xG 1.40 / 1.20 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.89
Floridsdorfer AC @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.09
Floridsdorfer AC @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.89 vs 2.09
Market price is 9.6% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.75 8.50
-1.50 4.40 6.20
-1.25 3.92 5.70
-1.00 3.42 5.20
-0.75 2.59 3.50
-0.25 1.93 2.43
0 1.65 2.12
+0.25 1.45 1.79
+0.75 1.22 1.39
+1.00 1.10 1.23
+1.25 1.08 1.18
+1.50 1.06 1.14

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.75 8.50
-1.50 4.40 6.20
-1.25 3.92 5.70
-1.00 3.42 5.20
-0.75 2.59 3.50
-0.25 1.89 2.43
0 1.65 2.12
+0.25 1.45 1.75
+0.75 1.22 1.39
+1.00 1.10 1.23
+1.25 1.08 1.18
+1.50 1.06 1.14

Pinnacle Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.72 3.68
-0.50 2.27 2.92
-0.25 1.98 2.56
0 1.67 2.18
+0.25 1.50 1.83
+0.50 1.39 1.62
+0.75 1.26 1.45
Primary Bets
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