Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Rapid Wien II
Oct 10, 2026 - 13:30
1.31 1.29
Wacker Innsbruck
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Rapid Wien II opened at -0.25 against Wacker Innsbruck in the 2. Liga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.02
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Rapid Wien II -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.23
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.23 AH points more toward Wacker Innsbruck than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Rapid Wien II -0.25
@ 3.00
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.23
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.33
Price Advantage
+28.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.84 / 1.64 -0.25 2.84 / 1.64 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 3.00 / 1.70 -0.25 2.99 / 1.70 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 3.00 / 1.70 -0.25 3.00 / 1.70 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.90 / 1.64 -0.25 2.90 / 1.64 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.02
xG 1.31 / 1.29 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.99
Rapid Wien II @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.33
Rapid Wien II @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.99 vs 2.33
Market price is 28.3% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.35 3.92
-1.50 6.50 3.14
-1.25 6.09 2.87
-1.00 5.70 2.52
-0.75 3.98 2.08
-0.25 2.90 1.64
0 2.54 1.46
+0.25 2.03 1.36
+0.75 1.60 1.17
+1.00 1.41 1.08
+1.25 1.32 1.06
+1.50 1.27 1.05

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.80 3.30
-1.25 6.40 3.00
-1.00 5.90 2.60
-0.75 4.15 2.20
-0.50 3.30 1.95
-0.25 3.00 1.70
0 2.60 1.48
+0.25 2.10 1.38
+0.50 1.85 1.32
+0.75 1.65 1.22
+1.00 1.48 1.13
+1.25 1.38 1.12
+1.50 1.32 1.10

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.40 3.92
-1.50 6.50 3.14
-1.25 6.10 2.88
-1.00 5.70 2.52
-0.75 3.98 2.08
-0.25 2.84 1.64
0 2.54 1.46
+0.25 2.03 1.33
+0.75 1.60 1.17
+1.00 1.41 1.08
+1.25 1.32 1.06
+1.50 1.27 1.05

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 3.36 1.94
-0.25 2.99 1.70
0 2.62 1.48
+0.25 2.13 1.37
+0.50 1.86 1.31
Primary Bets
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