WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

WSPG Wels
Oct 10, 2026 - 13:30
1.42 1.18
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 5 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

WSPG Wels opened at -0.25 against Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz in the 2. Liga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.21
WSPG Wels -0.21

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
WSPG Wels -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.04
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.04 AH points more toward Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
WSPG Wels -0.25
@ 2.75
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.04
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.04
Price Advantage
+34.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.58 / 1.77 -0.25 2.58 / 1.77 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.84 / 1.83 -0.25 2.73 / 1.88 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 2.75 / 1.80 -0.25 2.75 / 1.80 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.64 / 1.77 -0.25 2.64 / 1.77 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.67 / 1.80 -0.25 2.67 / 1.80 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.21
xG 1.42 / 1.18 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.73
WSPG Wels @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.04
WSPG Wels @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.73 vs 2.04
Market price is 33.8% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.40 6.90
-1.75 8.15 4.74
-1.50 6.20 3.74
-1.25 5.74 3.34
-1.00 5.30 2.97
-0.75 3.58 2.33
-0.25 2.64 1.77
0 2.29 1.56
+0.25 1.87 1.43
+0.75 1.48 1.21
+1.00 1.30 1.09
+1.25 1.24 1.07
+1.50 1.19 1.06
+1.75 1.12 1.02

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.40 3.55
-1.25 6.00 3.30
-1.00 5.75 2.85
-0.75 3.80 2.35
-0.50 3.10 2.05
-0.25 2.75 1.80
+0.25 2.00 1.42
+0.50 1.75 1.35
+0.75 1.58 1.25
+1.00 1.40 1.14
+1.25 1.32 1.12
+1.50 1.27 1.12

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.67 1.80
+0.25 1.93 1.44

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.20 4.75
-1.50 6.20 3.74
-1.25 5.75 3.34
-1.00 5.30 2.97
-0.75 3.58 2.33
-0.25 2.58 1.77
0 2.29 1.56
+0.25 1.87 1.40
+0.75 1.48 1.21
+1.00 1.30 1.09
+1.25 1.24 1.07
+1.50 1.19 1.06
+1.75 1.12 1.02

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.89 2.54
-0.50 3.10 2.15
-0.25 2.73 1.88
0 2.33 1.59
+0.25 1.92 1.44
+0.50 1.69 1.35
+0.75 1.51 1.24
Primary Bets
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