Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Obolon'-Brovar
Oct 10, 2026 - 10:00
1.51 1.51
Kryvbas KR
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Obolon'-Brovar opened at -0.25 against Kryvbas KR in the Premier League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
0
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Obolon'-Brovar -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.25
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.25 AH points more toward Kryvbas KR than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Kryvbas KR +0.25
@ 2.00
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.25
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.76
Price Advantage
+13.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.89 / 1.82 -0.25 2.52 / 1.85 — -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.59 / 1.99 -0.25 2.57 / 2.00 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 2.68 / 1.98 -0.25 2.60 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet 0 2.04 / 1.72 -0.25 2.52 / 1.93 — -0.25
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
0
xG 1.51 / 1.51 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.57
Obolon'-Brovar @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.32
Obolon'-Brovar @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.57 vs 2.32
Market price is 10.8% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-3.50 14.20 13.20
-3.00 14.20 13.20
-2.75 13.00 10.60
-2.50 11.70 8.85
-2.25 11.40 8.55
-2.00 11.30 8.20
-1.75 7.85 5.60
-1.50 6.10 4.32
-1.25 5.67 3.90
-1.00 5.22 3.49
-0.75 3.60 2.64
-0.25 2.52 1.93
0 2.18 1.64
+0.25 1.81 1.49
+0.75 1.45 1.26
+1.00 1.28 1.14
+1.25 1.23 1.12
+1.50 1.19 1.10
+1.75 1.13 1.06
+2.00 1.06 1.02
+2.25 1.05 1.02
+2.50 1.05 1.02

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.60 4.40
-1.25 6.00 4.00
-1.00 5.75 3.55
-0.75 3.70 2.68
-0.50 3.00 2.25
-0.25 2.60 1.98
0 2.20 1.65
+0.25 1.82 1.48
+0.50 1.62 1.38
+0.75 1.45 1.26
+1.00 1.27 1.14
+1.25 1.23 1.12
+1.50 1.20 1.11

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.30 5.45
-1.50 6.35 4.25
-1.25 5.90 3.82
-1.00 5.45 3.34
-0.75 3.58 2.52
-0.25 2.52 1.85
0 2.21 1.60
+0.25 1.78 1.42
+0.75 1.41 1.21
+1.00 1.24 1.08
+1.25 1.18 1.07
+1.50 1.15 1.06

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.95 2.30
-0.25 2.57 2.00
0 2.19 1.67
+0.25 1.82 1.48
+0.50 1.61 1.37
Primary Bets
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