Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Uta Arad
Oct 17, 2026 - 17:00
1.60 1.75
CFR 1907 Cluj
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Uta Arad opened at -0.25 against CFR 1907 Cluj in the Liga I. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.14
Uta Arad +0.14

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Uta Arad -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.39
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.39 AH points more toward CFR 1907 Cluj than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
CFR 1907 Cluj +0.25
@ 2.87
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.39
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.67
Price Advantage
+71.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.95 / 2.38 -0.25 1.73 / 2.73 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.84 / 2.87 -0.25 1.84 / 2.87 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.99 / 2.38 -0.25 1.76 / 2.73 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.42 / 2.95 -0.50 2.22 / 3.20 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.14
xG 1.60 / 1.75 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.84
Uta Arad @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.50
Uta Arad @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.84 vs 2.50
Market price is 26.4% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.90 8.20
-1.50 3.80 7.10
-1.25 3.34 6.64
-1.00 2.97 6.15
-0.75 2.30 4.00
-0.25 1.76 2.73
0 1.51 2.41
+0.25 1.36 1.96
+0.75 1.17 1.49
+1.00 1.06 1.30
+1.25 1.05 1.24
+1.50 1.04 1.19
+1.75 1.02 1.11

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.22 3.20
+0.50 1.37 1.70

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.90 8.20
-1.50 3.80 7.10
-1.25 3.34 6.65
-1.00 2.97 6.15
-0.75 2.30 4.00
-0.25 1.73 2.73
0 1.51 2.41
+0.25 1.36 1.92
+0.75 1.17 1.49
+1.00 1.06 1.30
+1.25 1.05 1.24
+1.50 1.04 1.19
+1.75 1.02 1.11

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.50 4.21
-0.50 2.11 3.28
-0.25 1.84 2.87
0 1.55 2.44
+0.25 1.41 1.97
+0.50 1.32 1.71
+0.75 1.22 1.52
Primary Bets
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