FC Botosani vs Uta Arad Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

FC Botosani
Oct 10, 2026 - 17:00
1.57 1.74
Uta Arad
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
2 / 4 books · 50% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

FC Botosani opened at -0.25 against Uta Arad in the Liga I. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 2 of 4 valid books, with 50% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
FC Botosani +0.16

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
FC Botosani -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.41
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 2 / 4 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.41 AH points more toward Uta Arad than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Uta Arad +0.25
@ 2.50
Best Available Price · Betano
Line Edge
0.41
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.65
Price Advantage
+51.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
2 / 4 valid books · 50% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.92 / 2.40 -0.25 1.92 / 2.40 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.71 / 2.11 0 1.71 / 2.11 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.96 / 2.40 -0.25 1.96 / 2.40 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.57 / 1.82 +0.25 1.57 / 1.82 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
xG 1.57 / 1.74 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.92
FC Botosani @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.53
FC Botosani @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.92 vs 2.53
Market price is 24.1% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.70 10.50
-2.00 8.80 9.20
-1.75 5.74 8.00
-1.50 4.40 5.95
-1.25 3.96 5.45
-1.00 3.50 4.95
-0.75 2.62 3.42
-0.25 1.96 2.40
0 1.67 2.09
+0.25 1.46 1.76
+0.75 1.23 1.38
+1.00 1.11 1.22
+1.25 1.08 1.17
+1.50 1.07 1.14
+1.75 1.02 1.07

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.77 3.55
-0.50 2.32 2.85
-0.25 2.05 2.50
+0.25 1.57 1.82
+0.50 1.45 1.65
+0.75 1.32 1.47

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.75 8.00
-1.50 4.40 5.95
-1.25 3.96 5.45
-1.00 3.50 4.95
-0.75 2.62 3.42
-0.25 1.92 2.40
0 1.67 2.09
+0.25 1.46 1.72
+0.75 1.23 1.38
+1.00 1.11 1.22
+1.25 1.08 1.17
+1.50 1.07 1.14
+1.75 1.02 1.07

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.79 3.55
-0.50 2.32 2.84
-0.25 2.03 2.48
0 1.71 2.11
+0.25 1.53 1.79
+0.50 1.41 1.60
+0.75 1.29 1.43
Primary Bets
More