Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Arges Pitesti
Oct 10, 2026 - 17:00
1.57 1.74
CFR 1907 Cluj
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
2 / 3 books · 67% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Arges Pitesti opened at 0 against CFR 1907 Cluj in the Liga I. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 2 of 3 valid books, with 67% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
Arges Pitesti +0.16

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Arges Pitesti 0
Model–Market Gap
0.16
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 2 / 3 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.16 AH points more toward CFR 1907 Cluj than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
CFR 1907 Cluj 0
@ 2.03
Best Available Price · Marathonbet
Line Edge
0.16
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.83
Price Advantage
+10.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
2 / 3 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.71 / 2.03 0 1.71 / 2.03 — 0
1xBet 0 1.71 / 2.03 0 1.71 / 2.03 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.55 / 1.75 +0.25 1.55 / 1.75 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
xG 1.57 / 1.74 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.71
Arges Pitesti @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.20
Arges Pitesti @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.71 vs 2.20
Market price is 22.3% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.49 8.30
-1.50 4.90 6.15
-1.25 4.44 5.64
-1.00 3.96 5.15
-0.75 2.83 3.42
-0.25 2.04 2.35
0 1.71 2.03
+0.25 1.48 1.70
+0.75 1.23 1.33
+1.00 1.10 1.17
+1.25 1.08 1.14
+1.50 1.06 1.11
+1.75 1.02 1.05

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.00 3.75
-0.50 2.47 2.95
-0.25 2.12 2.52
+0.25 1.55 1.75
+0.50 1.42 1.57
+0.75 1.29 1.42

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.50 8.30
-1.50 4.90 6.15
-1.25 4.45 5.65
-1.00 3.96 5.15
-0.75 2.83 3.42
-0.25 2.00 2.35
0 1.71 2.03
+0.25 1.48 1.67
+0.75 1.23 1.33
+1.00 1.10 1.17
+1.25 1.08 1.14
+1.50 1.06 1.11
+1.75 1.02 1.05
Primary Bets
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